Trader sentiment centers on a tight contest between 50-51°F (29%) and 52-53°F (27%) for Seattle's March 23 high, driven by NOAA ensemble forecasts projecting mild marine-influenced conditions under weak high pressure aloft. Differentiating factors include model spread on morning stratus persistence—ECMWF leans toward prolonged cloud cover capping peaks near 51°F, while GFS hints at afternoon clearing boosting to 53°F—against a 54°F historical average for the date. Recent 00z runs refined odds by narrowing uncertainty from overnight low pressure trough exit, with NWS point forecast at 52°F underscoring baseline stability amid typical Puget Sound moderation. Watch 12z updates for resolution shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月23日西雅图最高气温?
3月23日西雅图最高气温?
50-51°F 29%
52-53°F 27%
54-55°F 14%
48-49°F 10%
41°F或以下
1%
42-43°F
3%
44-45°F
8%
46-47°F
9%
48-49°F
10%
50-51°F
29%
52-53°F
27%
54-55°F
14%
56-57°F
6%
58-59°F
3%
60°F或更高
1%
50-51°F 29%
52-53°F 27%
54-55°F 14%
48-49°F 10%
41°F或以下
1%
42-43°F
3%
44-45°F
8%
46-47°F
9%
48-49°F
10%
50-51°F
29%
52-53°F
27%
54-55°F
14%
56-57°F
6%
58-59°F
3%
60°F或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 19, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment centers on a tight contest between 50-51°F (29%) and 52-53°F (27%) for Seattle's March 23 high, driven by NOAA ensemble forecasts projecting mild marine-influenced conditions under weak high pressure aloft. Differentiating factors include model spread on morning stratus persistence—ECMWF leans toward prolonged cloud cover capping peaks near 51°F, while GFS hints at afternoon clearing boosting to 53°F—against a 54°F historical average for the date. Recent 00z runs refined odds by narrowing uncertainty from overnight low pressure trough exit, with NWS point forecast at 52°F underscoring baseline stability amid typical Puget Sound moderation. Watch 12z updates for resolution shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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