Recent forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration indicate Taipei’s daily maximum will peak near 34°C today, driven by a subtropical ridge promoting light southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and efficient diurnal heating under stable atmospheric conditions that limit convective cloud development and cap excessive warming. Official observations and model consensus align with this range, consistent with typical late-May climatology where highs often reach the low-to-mid 30s amid warming seasonal trends. Traders have priced in this consensus at near-certainty for 34°C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in current guidance. A realistic challenge could arise from an unexpected afternoon thunderstorm outbreak or a sharper-than-anticipated frontal boundary that enhances cloud cover and reduces peak temperatures below the threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Taipei on May 22?
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$52,646 交易量
$52,646 交易量
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$52,646 交易量
$52,646 交易量
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 20, 2026, 12:54 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Recent forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration indicate Taipei’s daily maximum will peak near 34°C today, driven by a subtropical ridge promoting light southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and efficient diurnal heating under stable atmospheric conditions that limit convective cloud development and cap excessive warming. Official observations and model consensus align with this range, consistent with typical late-May climatology where highs often reach the low-to-mid 30s amid warming seasonal trends. Traders have priced in this consensus at near-certainty for 34°C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band in current guidance. A realistic challenge could arise from an unexpected afternoon thunderstorm outbreak or a sharper-than-anticipated frontal boundary that enhances cloud cover and reduces peak temperatures below the threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

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