Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF models indicate a high of 18°C as the most likely outcome for Tel Aviv on March 22, driven by a mild southerly flow and typical late-winter Mediterranean stability, aligning with seasonal norms of 17-20°C highs. Trader consensus reflects this, pricing 18°C at 37% implied probability, followed by 17°C (23.5%) and 19°C (19%), amid low volatility from persistent high-pressure influence. Historical data shows March 22 averages 19.2°C, but recent cooling trends from coastal breezes and GFS ensemble means slightly below that threshold have boosted lower outcomes, with minimal support for extremes above 23°C or below 13°C due to absent heatwaves or cold snaps in current synoptic patterns. Updated runs expected tomorrow may shift odds further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 22?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 22?
18°C 37%
17°C 24%
19°C 16%
16°C 7%
13°C or below
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
6%
16°C
7%
17°C
24%
18°C
37%
19°C
16%
20°C
6%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
6%
18°C 37%
17°C 24%
19°C 16%
16°C 7%
13°C or below
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
6%
16°C
7%
17°C
24%
18°C
37%
19°C
16%
20°C
6%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ben Gurion Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/il/tel-aviv/LLBG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/il/tel-aviv/LLBGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/il/tel-aviv/LLBGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF models indicate a high of 18°C as the most likely outcome for Tel Aviv on March 22, driven by a mild southerly flow and typical late-winter Mediterranean stability, aligning with seasonal norms of 17-20°C highs. Trader consensus reflects this, pricing 18°C at 37% implied probability, followed by 17°C (23.5%) and 19°C (19%), amid low volatility from persistent high-pressure influence. Historical data shows March 22 averages 19.2°C, but recent cooling trends from coastal breezes and GFS ensemble means slightly below that threshold have boosted lower outcomes, with minimal support for extremes above 23°C or below 13°C due to absent heatwaves or cold snaps in current synoptic patterns. Updated runs expected tomorrow may shift odds further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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