Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Tel Aviv high temperature of 19–21°C on March 23, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models converging on 20°C amid light southerly winds and partial cloud cover moderating daytime heating. The Israel Meteorological Service's latest outlook aligns with this, projecting a peak near 20°C around 3 PM local time, consistent with March climatology (historical average high 19.5°C) but tempered by a weak high-pressure ridge. Tight odds reflect model spread of 1–2°C uncertainty, with 24°C+ less likely absent stronger warm advection, while sub-18°C outcomes hinge on unexpected sea breeze intensification. Upcoming hourly updates from IMS could shift sentiment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 23?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 23?
20°C 28%
19°C 23%
21°C 21%
18°C 19%
14°C or below
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
8%
17°C
3%
18°C
18%
19°C
25%
20°C
28%
21°C
21%
22°C
8%
23°C
11%
24°C or higher
19%
20°C 28%
19°C 23%
21°C 21%
18°C 19%
14°C or below
2%
15°C
5%
16°C
8%
17°C
3%
18°C
18%
19°C
25%
20°C
28%
21°C
21%
22°C
8%
23°C
11%
24°C or higher
19%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Tel Aviv high temperature of 19–21°C on March 23, driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models converging on 20°C amid light southerly winds and partial cloud cover moderating daytime heating. The Israel Meteorological Service's latest outlook aligns with this, projecting a peak near 20°C around 3 PM local time, consistent with March climatology (historical average high 19.5°C) but tempered by a weak high-pressure ridge. Tight odds reflect model spread of 1–2°C uncertainty, with 24°C+ less likely absent stronger warm advection, while sub-18°C outcomes hinge on unexpected sea breeze intensification. Upcoming hourly updates from IMS could shift sentiment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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