Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 2, 2026, at 21°C, as measured at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station via Wunderground data. This positioning stems from observational records showing daytime peaks of 20–21°C under persistent overcast skies and intermittent light rain from a passing cool front, which suppressed solar insolation and introduced cool air advection per China Meteorological Administration reports and global models like GFS and ECMWF. These conditions diverged sharply from the early-May climatological average of 26°C, with negligible late-afternoon warming potential due to sustained cloud cover. Final data finalization on Wunderground could confirm resolution, though a sudden clearing allowing a brief 22°C spike remains a remote scenario given model ensembles and current trends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 2?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 2?
21°C 100%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$177,251 交易量
$177,251 交易量
2026-05-02
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
21°C 100%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$177,251 交易量
$177,251 交易量
2026-05-02
14°C or below
$11,016 交易量
No
15°C
$3,833 交易量
No
16°C
$5,275 交易量
No
17°C
$15,105 交易量
No
18°C
$25,251 交易量
No
19°C
$25,595 交易量
No
20°C
$17,430 交易量
No
21°C
$36,038 交易量
Yes
22°C
$11,923 交易量
No
23°C
$12,615 交易量
No
24°C or higher
$13,170 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 2, 2026, at 21°C, as measured at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station via Wunderground data. This positioning stems from observational records showing daytime peaks of 20–21°C under persistent overcast skies and intermittent light rain from a passing cool front, which suppressed solar insolation and introduced cool air advection per China Meteorological Administration reports and global models like GFS and ECMWF. These conditions diverged sharply from the early-May climatological average of 26°C, with negligible late-afternoon warming potential due to sustained cloud cover. Final data finalization on Wunderground could confirm resolution, though a sudden clearing allowing a brief 22°C spike remains a remote scenario given model ensembles and current trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
交易量
$177,251结束日期
2026-05-02市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 2, 2026, at 21°C, as measured at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station via Wunderground data. This positioning stems from observational records showing daytime peaks of 20–21°C under persistent overcast skies and intermittent light rain from a passing cool front, which suppressed solar insolation and introduced cool air advection per China Meteorological Administration reports and global models like GFS and ECMWF. These conditions diverged sharply from the early-May climatological average of 26°C, with negligible late-afternoon warming potential due to sustained cloud cover. Final data finalization on Wunderground could confirm resolution, though a sudden clearing allowing a brief 22°C spike remains a remote scenario given model ensembles and current trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$177,251结束日期
2026-05-02市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 2, 2026, at 21°C, as measured at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station via Wunderground data. This positioning stems from observational records showing daytime peaks of 20–21°C under persistent overcast skies and intermittent light rain from a passing cool front, which suppressed solar insolation and introduced cool air advection per China Meteorological Administration reports and global models like GFS and ECMWF. These conditions diverged sharply from the early-May climatological average of 26°C, with negligible late-afternoon warming potential due to sustained cloud cover. Final data finalization on Wunderground could confirm resolution, though a sudden clearing allowing a brief 22°C spike remains a remote scenario given model ensembles and current trends.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题