Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward Hoppers posting $19.5-21 million in its third weekend (32% implied probability), propelled by a robust second-frame hold of $22.8 million—down just 36% from its $35.6 million debut—buoyed by solid word-of-mouth (A CinemaScore) and family appeal amid school holidays. Closely matched bins reflect uncertainty from intensifying competition: Gladiator II's $42 million sophomore session and Wicked's juggernaut run ($300M+ domestic) crowd theaters, while new wide releases like Flower Moon holdovers pressure screens. Key differentiators include Hoppers' leggy multiplier potential (currently 1.6x) versus genre peers' steeper drops, with Thursday previews and Friday walkups pivotal before Sunday estimates lock in resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于“Hoppers”第三周末票房
“Hoppers”第三周末票房
1950万-2100万 32%
>2100万 24%
1800万-1950万 21%
1650万-1800万 13%
$18,954 交易量
$18,954 交易量
Mar 23, 2026
<1650万美元
2%
1650万-1800万
13%
1800万-1950万
28%
1950万-2100万
32%
>2100万
24%
1950万-2100万 32%
>2100万 24%
1800万-1950万 21%
1650万-1800万 13%
$18,954 交易量
$18,954 交易量
Mar 23, 2026
<1650万美元
$3,646 交易量
2%
1650万-1800万
$3,741 交易量
13%
1800万-1950万
$4,009 交易量
28%
1950万-2100万
$2,622 交易量
32%
>2100万
$4,936 交易量
24%
This market will resolve according to how much "Hoppers" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 3rd weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (March 20 - March 22) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is no final data available by March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This market will resolve according to how much "Hoppers" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 3rd weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (March 20 - March 22) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is no final data available by March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This market will resolve according to how much "Hoppers" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 3rd weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (March 20 - March 22) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is no final data available by March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This market will resolve according to how much "Hoppers" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 3rd weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (March 20 - March 22) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is no final data available by March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This market will resolve according to how much "Hoppers" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 3rd weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (March 20 - March 22) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is no final data available by March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve according to how much "Hoppers" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 3rd weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (March 20 - March 22) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is no final data available by March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This market will resolve according to how much "Hoppers" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 3rd weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (March 20 - March 22) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is no final data available by March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is no final data available by March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Mar 17, 2026, 9:25 PM ET
交易量
$18,954结束日期
Mar 23, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 17, 2026, 9:25 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Hoppers" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 3rd weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (March 20 - March 22) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is no final data available by March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This market will resolve according to how much "Hoppers" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 3rd weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (March 20 - March 22) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is no final data available by March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This market will resolve according to how much "Hoppers" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 3rd weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (March 20 - March 22) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is no final data available by March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This market will resolve according to how much "Hoppers" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 3rd weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (March 20 - March 22) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is no final data available by March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This market will resolve according to how much "Hoppers" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 3rd weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (March 20 - March 22) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is no final data available by March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$18,954结束日期
Mar 23, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 17, 2026, 9:25 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward Hoppers posting $19.5-21 million in its third weekend (32% implied probability), propelled by a robust second-frame hold of $22.8 million—down just 36% from its $35.6 million debut—buoyed by solid word-of-mouth (A CinemaScore) and family appeal amid school holidays. Closely matched bins reflect uncertainty from intensifying competition: Gladiator II's $42 million sophomore session and Wicked's juggernaut run ($300M+ domestic) crowd theaters, while new wide releases like Flower Moon holdovers pressure screens. Key differentiators include Hoppers' leggy multiplier potential (currently 1.6x) versus genre peers' steeper drops, with Thursday previews and Friday walkups pivotal before Sunday estimates lock in resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题