Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly anticipates White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt arriving 25-30 minutes late to the next press briefing (86.3% implied probability), with 20-25 minutes a distant second (20%), based on her established pattern of delays observed across multiple recent sessions, including the March 30 briefing amid discussions on Iran diplomacy and the March 25 update on domestic priorities. This positioning stems from consistent historical lateness since early 2026—such as February instances noted in media reports—without recent developments signaling a shift, like schedule adjustments or administrative changes. Traders weigh the risk of minor variations from overruns in prior meetings, but the wisdom of crowds reflects high confidence in the 25-30 minute range absent late-breaking alterations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$8,689 交易量
$8,689 交易量
2026-03-31
20 - 25分钟
20%
25 - 30分钟
86%
$8,689 交易量
$8,689 交易量
2026-03-31
20 - 25分钟
$639 交易量
20%
25 - 30分钟
$1,123 交易量
86%
This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Karoline Leavitt begins the next White House Press Conference she participates in. This market will resolve based on when Karoline Leavitt begins speaking.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly anticipates White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt arriving 25-30 minutes late to the next press briefing (86.3% implied probability), with 20-25 minutes a distant second (20%), based on her established pattern of delays observed across multiple recent sessions, including the March 30 briefing amid discussions on Iran diplomacy and the March 25 update on domestic priorities. This positioning stems from consistent historical lateness since early 2026—such as February instances noted in media reports—without recent developments signaling a shift, like schedule adjustments or administrative changes. Traders weigh the risk of minor variations from overruns in prior meetings, but the wisdom of crowds reflects high confidence in the 25-30 minute range absent late-breaking alterations.
This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Karoline Leavitt begins the next White House Press Conference she participates in. This market will resolve based on when Karoline Leavitt begins speaking.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 6:31 PM ET
交易量
$8,689结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Karoline Leavitt begins the next White House Press Conference she participates in. This market will resolve based on when Karoline Leavitt begins speaking.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly anticipates White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt arriving 25-30 minutes late to the next press briefing (86.3% implied probability), with 20-25 minutes a distant second (20%), based on her established pattern of delays observed across multiple recent sessions, including the March 30 briefing amid discussions on Iran diplomacy and the March 25 update on domestic priorities. This positioning stems from consistent historical lateness since early 2026—such as February instances noted in media reports—without recent developments signaling a shift, like schedule adjustments or administrative changes. Traders weigh the risk of minor variations from overruns in prior meetings, but the wisdom of crowds reflects high confidence in the 25-30 minute range absent late-breaking alterations.
This market will resolve according to the number of minutes past the scheduled start time that Karoline Leavitt begins the next White House Press Conference she participates in. This market will resolve based on when Karoline Leavitt begins speaking.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)
交易量
$8,689结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 6:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly anticipates White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt arriving 25-30 minutes late to the next press briefing (86.3% implied probability), with 20-25 minutes a distant second (20%), based on her established pattern of delays observed across multiple recent sessions, including the March 30 briefing amid discussions on Iran diplomacy and the March 25 update on domestic priorities. This positioning stems from consistent historical lateness since early 2026—such as February instances noted in media reports—without recent developments signaling a shift, like schedule adjustments or administrative changes. Traders weigh the risk of minor variations from overruns in prior meetings, but the wisdom of crowds reflects high confidence in the 25-30 minute range absent late-breaking alterations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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