Vote counting on May 4 for the Kerala Legislative Assembly election, held April 9 with 79.7% turnout, confirms the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) securing a decisive majority of 102 seats out of 140, including 63 for INC, ousting the incumbent Left Democratic Front (LDF) after two terms. This shift reflects strong anti-incumbency against LDF Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan's government amid governance critiques, bolstered by UDF's "Puthuyuga Yathra" campaign and exit polls predicting 82-94 UDF seats. Trader consensus prices INC at 100% as the election winner, embodying UDF's path to forming the next majority government. Realistic challenges are minimal—only unprecedented legal disputes, recounts, or defections could alter outcomes, though clear margins make this improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于印度国民大会党（INC） 100.0%
广大社会党（BSP） <1%
印度共产党（CPI） <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$472,181 交易量
$472,181 交易量
2026-04-09
广大社会党（BSP）
否
印度国民大会党（INC）
是
印度共产党（CPI）
否
CPI(M)
否
贾纳塔党（世俗）
否
RSP
否
喀拉拉大会党（M）
否
印度人民党（BJP）
否
国民大会党
否
印度联盟穆斯林联盟（IUML）
否
印度国民大会党（INC） 100.0%
广大社会党（BSP） <1%
印度共产党（CPI） <1%
CPI(M) <1%
$472,181 交易量
$472,181 交易量
2026-04-09
广大社会党（BSP）
$20,219 交易量
否
印度国民大会党（INC）
$109,121 交易量
是
印度共产党（CPI）
$38,089 交易量
否
CPI(M)
$100,816 交易量
否
贾纳塔党（世俗）
$26,669 交易量
否
RSP
$17,062 交易量
否
喀拉拉大会党（M）
$16,092 交易量
否
印度人民党（BJP）
$72,214 交易量
否
国民大会党
$51,260 交易量
否
印度联盟穆斯林联盟（IUML）
$20,639 交易量
否
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Vote counting on May 4 for the Kerala Legislative Assembly election, held April 9 with 79.7% turnout, confirms the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) securing a decisive majority of 102 seats out of 140, including 63 for INC, ousting the incumbent Left Democratic Front (LDF) after two terms. This shift reflects strong anti-incumbency against LDF Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan's government amid governance critiques, bolstered by UDF's "Puthuyuga Yathra" campaign and exit polls predicting 82-94 UDF seats. Trader consensus prices INC at 100% as the election winner, embodying UDF's path to forming the next majority government. Realistic challenges are minimal—only unprecedented legal disputes, recounts, or defections could alter outcomes, though clear margins make this improbable.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
市场开放时间： Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ET
交易量
$472,181结束日期
2026-04-09市场开放时间
Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Vote counting on May 4 for the Kerala Legislative Assembly election, held April 9 with 79.7% turnout, confirms the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) securing a decisive majority of 102 seats out of 140, including 63 for INC, ousting the incumbent Left Democratic Front (LDF) after two terms. This shift reflects strong anti-incumbency against LDF Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan's government amid governance critiques, bolstered by UDF's "Puthuyuga Yathra" campaign and exit polls predicting 82-94 UDF seats. Trader consensus prices INC at 100% as the election winner, embodying UDF's path to forming the next majority government. Realistic challenges are minimal—only unprecedented legal disputes, recounts, or defections could alter outcomes, though clear margins make this improbable.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
交易量
$472,181结束日期
2026-04-09市场开放时间
Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Vote counting on May 4 for the Kerala Legislative Assembly election, held April 9 with 79.7% turnout, confirms the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) securing a decisive majority of 102 seats out of 140, including 63 for INC, ousting the incumbent Left Democratic Front (LDF) after two terms. This shift reflects strong anti-incumbency against LDF Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan's government amid governance critiques, bolstered by UDF's "Puthuyuga Yathra" campaign and exit polls predicting 82-94 UDF seats. Trader consensus prices INC at 100% as the election winner, embodying UDF's path to forming the next majority government. Realistic challenges are minimal—only unprecedented legal disputes, recounts, or defections could alter outcomes, though clear margins make this improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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