Recent SKDS and Gemius polls from late March to early April 2026 show populist challenger LPV at 14-15% support, narrowly ahead of Progressives (PRO) and well clear of incumbent New Unity (JV) at 9-11%, projecting LPV with the most seats in Latvia's proportional representation Saeima election set for October 3. Trader consensus nonetheless prices JV a slim 35.5% favorite over LPV at 33%, betting on incumbency advantages, historical polling volatility, and 26% undecided voters amid government dissatisfaction over crises and scandals. National Alliance (NA) trails at 18.5% implied odds. Leadership debates, economic data, or gaffes could widen the gap in this fragmented, coalition-dependent race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于团结党 36%
拉脱维亚优先党（LPV） 24%
NA 17%
进步党（PRO） 12.4%
$59,383 交易量
$59,383 交易量
2026-10-03
团结党
36%
拉脱维亚优先党（LPV）
33%
NA
17%
进步党（PRO）
10%
ZZS
4%
联合名单（AS）
4%
S
2%
SV
1%
ST!
1%
团结党 36%
拉脱维亚优先党（LPV） 24%
NA 17%
进步党（PRO） 12.4%
$59,383 交易量
$59,383 交易量
2026-10-03
团结党
$4,067 交易量
36%
拉脱维亚优先党（LPV）
$1,580 交易量
33%
NA
$1,729 交易量
17%
进步党（PRO）
$798 交易量
10%
ZZS
$48,212 交易量
4%
联合名单（AS）
$827 交易量
4%
S
$556 交易量
2%
SV
$993 交易量
1%
ST!
$621 交易量
1%
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Recent SKDS and Gemius polls from late March to early April 2026 show populist challenger LPV at 14-15% support, narrowly ahead of Progressives (PRO) and well clear of incumbent New Unity (JV) at 9-11%, projecting LPV with the most seats in Latvia's proportional representation Saeima election set for October 3. Trader consensus nonetheless prices JV a slim 35.5% favorite over LPV at 33%, betting on incumbency advantages, historical polling volatility, and 26% undecided voters amid government dissatisfaction over crises and scandals. National Alliance (NA) trails at 18.5% implied odds. Leadership debates, economic data, or gaffes could widen the gap in this fragmented, coalition-dependent race.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ET
交易量
$59,383结束日期
2026-10-03市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Recent SKDS and Gemius polls from late March to early April 2026 show populist challenger LPV at 14-15% support, narrowly ahead of Progressives (PRO) and well clear of incumbent New Unity (JV) at 9-11%, projecting LPV with the most seats in Latvia's proportional representation Saeima election set for October 3. Trader consensus nonetheless prices JV a slim 35.5% favorite over LPV at 33%, betting on incumbency advantages, historical polling volatility, and 26% undecided voters amid government dissatisfaction over crises and scandals. National Alliance (NA) trails at 18.5% implied odds. Leadership debates, economic data, or gaffes could widen the gap in this fragmented, coalition-dependent race.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
交易量
$59,383结束日期
2026-10-03市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent SKDS and Gemius polls from late March to early April 2026 show populist challenger LPV at 14-15% support, narrowly ahead of Progressives (PRO) and well clear of incumbent New Unity (JV) at 9-11%, projecting LPV with the most seats in Latvia's proportional representation Saeima election set for October 3. Trader consensus nonetheless prices JV a slim 35.5% favorite over LPV at 33%, betting on incumbency advantages, historical polling volatility, and 26% undecided voters amid government dissatisfaction over crises and scandals. National Alliance (NA) trails at 18.5% implied odds. Leadership debates, economic data, or gaffes could widen the gap in this fragmented, coalition-dependent race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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