Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France place the overnight minimum in Paris on August 30 near 16–17°C under mostly cloudy skies, light southwesterly flow, and residual Atlantic moisture that limits radiational cooling. These values align with the market’s tight clustering at 16°C and 17°C, reflecting trader consensus on model guidance showing little spread in the 10th–90th percentile range for the final night of August. Recent cooling after mid-month warmth and the absence of strong high pressure or clear skies keep extremes below 15°C or above 18°C less likely, though final station observations from central Paris will determine exact resolution. Updated model runs through the weekend remain the key near-term catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日巴黎最低气温？
8月30日巴黎最低气温？
16°C 43%
18°C 32%
15°C 31%
17°C 31%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
12°C或以下
8%
13°C
9%
14°C
15%
15°C
31%
16°C
43%
17°C
42%
18°C
32%
19°C
17%
20°C
16%
21°C
2%
22°C或更高
9%
16°C 43%
18°C 32%
15°C 31%
17°C 31%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
12°C或以下
$135 交易量
8%
13°C
$130 交易量
9%
14°C
$0 交易量
15%
15°C
$0 交易量
31%
16°C
$0 交易量
43%
17°C
$36 交易量
42%
18°C
$0 交易量
32%
19°C
$0 交易量
17%
20°C
$0 交易量
16%
21°C
$5 交易量
2%
22°C或更高
$5 交易量
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France place the overnight minimum in Paris on August 30 near 16–17°C under mostly cloudy skies, light southwesterly flow, and residual Atlantic moisture that limits radiational cooling. These values align with the market’s tight clustering at 16°C and 17°C, reflecting trader consensus on model guidance showing little spread in the 10th–90th percentile range for the final night of August. Recent cooling after mid-month warmth and the absence of strong high pressure or clear skies keep extremes below 15°C or above 18°C less likely, though final station observations from central Paris will determine exact resolution. Updated model runs through the weekend remain the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$311结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France place the overnight minimum in Paris on August 30 near 16–17°C under mostly cloudy skies, light southwesterly flow, and residual Atlantic moisture that limits radiational cooling. These values align with the market’s tight clustering at 16°C and 17°C, reflecting trader consensus on model guidance showing little spread in the 10th–90th percentile range for the final night of August. Recent cooling after mid-month warmth and the absence of strong high pressure or clear skies keep extremes below 15°C or above 18°C less likely, though final station observations from central Paris will determine exact resolution. Updated model runs through the weekend remain the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$311结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France place the overnight minimum in Paris on August 30 near 16–17°C under mostly cloudy skies, light southwesterly flow, and residual Atlantic moisture that limits radiational cooling. These values align with the market’s tight clustering at 16°C and 17°C, reflecting trader consensus on model guidance showing little spread in the 10th–90th percentile range for the final night of August. Recent cooling after mid-month warmth and the absence of strong high pressure or clear skies keep extremes below 15°C or above 18°C less likely, though final station observations from central Paris will determine exact resolution. Updated model runs through the weekend remain the key near-term catalyst.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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