Kyle Schwarber leads the 2026 MLB home run race with 37 long balls for the Phillies, giving him the highest implied probability in the market. His recent multi-homer outbursts, including a pair against the Twins in mid-August, have reinforced trader confidence amid a strong second-half surge after an earlier slump. Yordan Alvarez sits close behind at 36 for the Astros with elite contact skills and a .319 average, though slower recent power output has capped his odds. Junior Caminero and Matt Olson trail with 35-plus homers each, benefiting from youth and consistent at-bats in power-friendly lineups. Late-season factors like rest, matchups, and health for these sluggers will shape whether the current frontrunner holds or challengers close the gap.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Kyle Schwarber 37%
Yordan Alvarez 23.0%
Junior Caminero 19.6%
Matt Olson 14.8%
$3,138,674 交易量
$3,138,674 交易量
Kyle Schwarber
37%
Yordan Alvarez
23%
Junior Caminero
20%
Matt Olson
15%
Ben Rice
4%
Munetaka Murakami
2%
James Wood
1%
Giancarlo Stanton
1%
Elly De La Cruz
<1%
Juan Soto
<1%
Mike Trout
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
<1%
Sal Stewart
<1%
Jordan Walker
<1%
Eugenio Suarez
<1%
Brandon Lowe
<1%
CJ Abrams
<1%
Cal Raleigh
<1%
Pete Alonso
<1%
Rafael Devers
<1%
Aaron Judge
<1%
Nick Kurtz
<1%
George Springer
<1%
Shea Langeliers
<1%
Manny Machado
<1%
Kyle Schwarber 37%
Yordan Alvarez 23.0%
Junior Caminero 19.6%
Matt Olson 14.8%
$3,138,674 交易量
$3,138,674 交易量
Kyle Schwarber
37%
Yordan Alvarez
23%
Junior Caminero
20%
Matt Olson
15%
Ben Rice
4%
Munetaka Murakami
2%
James Wood
1%
Giancarlo Stanton
1%
Elly De La Cruz
<1%
Juan Soto
<1%
Mike Trout
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
<1%
Sal Stewart
<1%
Jordan Walker
<1%
Eugenio Suarez
<1%
Brandon Lowe
<1%
CJ Abrams
<1%
Cal Raleigh
<1%
Pete Alonso
<1%
Rafael Devers
<1%
Aaron Judge
<1%
Nick Kurtz
<1%
George Springer
<1%
Shea Langeliers
<1%
Manny Machado
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kyle Schwarber leads the 2026 MLB home run race with 37 long balls for the Phillies, giving him the highest implied probability in the market. His recent multi-homer outbursts, including a pair against the Twins in mid-August, have reinforced trader confidence amid a strong second-half surge after an earlier slump. Yordan Alvarez sits close behind at 36 for the Astros with elite contact skills and a .319 average, though slower recent power output has capped his odds. Junior Caminero and Matt Olson trail with 35-plus homers each, benefiting from youth and consistent at-bats in power-friendly lineups. Late-season factors like rest, matchups, and health for these sluggers will shape whether the current frontrunner holds or challengers close the gap.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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