Deb Haaland holds a commanding lead in the New Mexico gubernatorial race due to her strong name recognition as a former U.S. representative and Interior secretary, combined with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding 7-to-1 in cash on hand and broad Democratic support in an open-seat contest. Primary victories in June, recent tribal endorsements, and polling averages showing her ahead by roughly 7–11 points have reinforced trader consensus around her position in a state where Democrats have controlled the governorship and most statewide offices for years. Gregg Hull, the Republican nominee and former Rio Rancho mayor, has emphasized economic growth and one-party rule critiques but trails significantly in resources and visibility. Late developments such as shifts in oil and gas policy sentiment, turnout surges, or unforeseen campaign events remain the main variables that could narrow the gap before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$34,646 交易量
$34,646 交易量
2026-11-02
黛布·哈兰德（民主党）
93%
格雷格·霍尔（共和党）
7%
$34,646 交易量
$34,646 交易量
2026-11-02
黛布·哈兰德（民主党）
$18,858 交易量
93%
格雷格·霍尔（共和党）
$15,789 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Deb Haaland holds a commanding lead in the New Mexico gubernatorial race due to her strong name recognition as a former U.S. representative and Interior secretary, combined with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding 7-to-1 in cash on hand and broad Democratic support in an open-seat contest. Primary victories in June, recent tribal endorsements, and polling averages showing her ahead by roughly 7–11 points have reinforced trader consensus around her position in a state where Democrats have controlled the governorship and most statewide offices for years. Gregg Hull, the Republican nominee and former Rio Rancho mayor, has emphasized economic growth and one-party rule critiques but trails significantly in resources and visibility. Late developments such as shifts in oil and gas policy sentiment, turnout surges, or unforeseen campaign events remain the main variables that could narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
交易量
$34,646结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Deb Haaland holds a commanding lead in the New Mexico gubernatorial race due to her strong name recognition as a former U.S. representative and Interior secretary, combined with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding 7-to-1 in cash on hand and broad Democratic support in an open-seat contest. Primary victories in June, recent tribal endorsements, and polling averages showing her ahead by roughly 7–11 points have reinforced trader consensus around her position in a state where Democrats have controlled the governorship and most statewide offices for years. Gregg Hull, the Republican nominee and former Rio Rancho mayor, has emphasized economic growth and one-party rule critiques but trails significantly in resources and visibility. Late developments such as shifts in oil and gas policy sentiment, turnout surges, or unforeseen campaign events remain the main variables that could narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$34,646结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETDeb Haaland holds a commanding lead in the New Mexico gubernatorial race due to her strong name recognition as a former U.S. representative and Interior secretary, combined with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding 7-to-1 in cash on hand and broad Democratic support in an open-seat contest. Primary victories in June, recent tribal endorsements, and polling averages showing her ahead by roughly 7–11 points have reinforced trader consensus around her position in a state where Democrats have controlled the governorship and most statewide offices for years. Gregg Hull, the Republican nominee and former Rio Rancho mayor, has emphasized economic growth and one-party rule critiques but trails significantly in resources and visibility. Late developments such as shifts in oil and gas policy sentiment, turnout surges, or unforeseen campaign events remain the main variables that could narrow the gap before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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