Incumbent Democrat Gabriel Vasquez seeks a third term in New Mexico’s 2nd congressional district against Republican Greg Cunningham, the June primary winner. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Lean Democratic or Tilt Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, citing Vasquez’s consecutive victories in a district with an R+2 partisan voting index where he outperformed the presidential ticket in 2024. Vasquez maintains a substantial fundraising edge and benefits from established name recognition in southern New Mexico, including Las Cruces and the Permian Basin. Cunningham, a former Marine and police officer, consolidated Republican support but trails in resources and visibility. Recent attack ads targeting Vasquez on policy votes have not altered the broader assessment that the incumbent holds a structural advantage in this swing district. Trader consensus on a Democratic hold reflects these incumbency, financial, and rating factors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$33,358 交易量
$33,358 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
88%
共和党
12%
$33,358 交易量
$33,358 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$14,228 交易量
88%
共和党
$19,129 交易量
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gabriel Vasquez seeks a third term in New Mexico’s 2nd congressional district against Republican Greg Cunningham, the June primary winner. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Lean Democratic or Tilt Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, citing Vasquez’s consecutive victories in a district with an R+2 partisan voting index where he outperformed the presidential ticket in 2024. Vasquez maintains a substantial fundraising edge and benefits from established name recognition in southern New Mexico, including Las Cruces and the Permian Basin. Cunningham, a former Marine and police officer, consolidated Republican support but trails in resources and visibility. Recent attack ads targeting Vasquez on policy votes have not altered the broader assessment that the incumbent holds a structural advantage in this swing district. Trader consensus on a Democratic hold reflects these incumbency, financial, and rating factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
交易量
$33,358结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gabriel Vasquez seeks a third term in New Mexico’s 2nd congressional district against Republican Greg Cunningham, the June primary winner. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Lean Democratic or Tilt Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, citing Vasquez’s consecutive victories in a district with an R+2 partisan voting index where he outperformed the presidential ticket in 2024. Vasquez maintains a substantial fundraising edge and benefits from established name recognition in southern New Mexico, including Las Cruces and the Permian Basin. Cunningham, a former Marine and police officer, consolidated Republican support but trails in resources and visibility. Recent attack ads targeting Vasquez on policy votes have not altered the broader assessment that the incumbent holds a structural advantage in this swing district. Trader consensus on a Democratic hold reflects these incumbency, financial, and rating factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$33,358结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETIncumbent Democrat Gabriel Vasquez seeks a third term in New Mexico’s 2nd congressional district against Republican Greg Cunningham, the June primary winner. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Lean Democratic or Tilt Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, citing Vasquez’s consecutive victories in a district with an R+2 partisan voting index where he outperformed the presidential ticket in 2024. Vasquez maintains a substantial fundraising edge and benefits from established name recognition in southern New Mexico, including Las Cruces and the Permian Basin. Cunningham, a former Marine and police officer, consolidated Republican support but trails in resources and visibility. Recent attack ads targeting Vasquez on policy votes have not altered the broader assessment that the incumbent holds a structural advantage in this swing district. Trader consensus on a Democratic hold reflects these incumbency, financial, and rating factors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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