NY-07, encompassing neighborhoods across Brooklyn and Queens, has long been a safely Democratic seat, with the retiring incumbent Nydia Velázquez securing 78 percent in 2024. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent reflects the district’s partisan composition, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of a credible GOP challenger for the November 2026 general election. The June 23 Democratic primary—featuring Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso, Assembly Member Claire Valdez, and Council Member Julie Won—remains the decisive contest, with recent Emerson polling showing Valdez narrowly ahead amid a large undecided share. A strong primary winner is expected to coast in the general, consistent with historical patterns in this urban, heavily Democratic district. A late scandal, unusually weak nominee performance, or national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the margin, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from current fundamentals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$22,285 交易量
$22,285 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$22,285 交易量
$22,285 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$11,501 交易量
94%
共和党
$10,784 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-07, encompassing neighborhoods across Brooklyn and Queens, has long been a safely Democratic seat, with the retiring incumbent Nydia Velázquez securing 78 percent in 2024. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent reflects the district’s partisan composition, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of a credible GOP challenger for the November 2026 general election. The June 23 Democratic primary—featuring Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso, Assembly Member Claire Valdez, and Council Member Julie Won—remains the decisive contest, with recent Emerson polling showing Valdez narrowly ahead amid a large undecided share. A strong primary winner is expected to coast in the general, consistent with historical patterns in this urban, heavily Democratic district. A late scandal, unusually weak nominee performance, or national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the margin, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from current fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$22,285结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-07, encompassing neighborhoods across Brooklyn and Queens, has long been a safely Democratic seat, with the retiring incumbent Nydia Velázquez securing 78 percent in 2024. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent reflects the district’s partisan composition, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of a credible GOP challenger for the November 2026 general election. The June 23 Democratic primary—featuring Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso, Assembly Member Claire Valdez, and Council Member Julie Won—remains the decisive contest, with recent Emerson polling showing Valdez narrowly ahead amid a large undecided share. A strong primary winner is expected to coast in the general, consistent with historical patterns in this urban, heavily Democratic district. A late scandal, unusually weak nominee performance, or national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the margin, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from current fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$22,285结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NY-07, encompassing neighborhoods across Brooklyn and Queens, has long been a safely Democratic seat, with the retiring incumbent Nydia Velázquez securing 78 percent in 2024. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent reflects the district’s partisan composition, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of a credible GOP challenger for the November 2026 general election. The June 23 Democratic primary—featuring Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso, Assembly Member Claire Valdez, and Council Member Julie Won—remains the decisive contest, with recent Emerson polling showing Valdez narrowly ahead amid a large undecided share. A strong primary winner is expected to coast in the general, consistent with historical patterns in this urban, heavily Democratic district. A late scandal, unusually weak nominee performance, or national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the margin, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from current fundamentals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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