New York’s 7th Congressional District, covering progressive strongholds in Brooklyn and Queens, maintains a Partisan Voter Index of D+25, reflected in consistent Democratic general-election margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in Assembly member Claire Valdez, who defeated Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso by roughly 20 points and now faces only token opposition from Republican Melvin Rivera. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, and trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democratic nominee tracks this structural and recent electoral evidence. Late-cycle developments such as a major scandal involving the Democratic candidate, an unprecedented national Republican surge, or sharply altered turnout patterns remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$30,210 交易量
$30,210 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
96%
共和党
1%
$30,210 交易量
$30,210 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$15,452 交易量
96%
共和党
$14,758 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 7th Congressional District, covering progressive strongholds in Brooklyn and Queens, maintains a Partisan Voter Index of D+25, reflected in consistent Democratic general-election margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in Assembly member Claire Valdez, who defeated Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso by roughly 20 points and now faces only token opposition from Republican Melvin Rivera. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, and trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democratic nominee tracks this structural and recent electoral evidence. Late-cycle developments such as a major scandal involving the Democratic candidate, an unprecedented national Republican surge, or sharply altered turnout patterns remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$30,210结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 7th Congressional District, covering progressive strongholds in Brooklyn and Queens, maintains a Partisan Voter Index of D+25, reflected in consistent Democratic general-election margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in Assembly member Claire Valdez, who defeated Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso by roughly 20 points and now faces only token opposition from Republican Melvin Rivera. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, and trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democratic nominee tracks this structural and recent electoral evidence. Late-cycle developments such as a major scandal involving the Democratic candidate, an unprecedented national Republican surge, or sharply altered turnout patterns remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$30,210结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETNew York’s 7th Congressional District, covering progressive strongholds in Brooklyn and Queens, maintains a Partisan Voter Index of D+25, reflected in consistent Democratic general-election margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a clear nominee in Assembly member Claire Valdez, who defeated Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso by roughly 20 points and now faces only token opposition from Republican Melvin Rivera. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, and trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democratic nominee tracks this structural and recent electoral evidence. Late-cycle developments such as a major scandal involving the Democratic candidate, an unprecedented national Republican surge, or sharply altered turnout patterns remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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