Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with a wide margin and now faces Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III and Independent Carl Boyanton in the November general election for Mississippi's 4th congressional district. The district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in prior election margins exceeding 20 points and a partisan voting index around R+21, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Hulum's primary victory established the Democratic challenger, but limited campaign activity or external events in the intervening months have left the race's fundamentals largely unchanged. Traders appear to weigh the incumbent's established position and the district's voting patterns more heavily than any early-cycle developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$23,880 交易量
$23,880 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
57%
民主党
8%
$23,880 交易量
$23,880 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$9,542 交易量
57%
民主党
$14,338 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with a wide margin and now faces Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III and Independent Carl Boyanton in the November general election for Mississippi's 4th congressional district. The district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in prior election margins exceeding 20 points and a partisan voting index around R+21, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Hulum's primary victory established the Democratic challenger, but limited campaign activity or external events in the intervening months have left the race's fundamentals largely unchanged. Traders appear to weigh the incumbent's established position and the district's voting patterns more heavily than any early-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$23,880结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with a wide margin and now faces Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III and Independent Carl Boyanton in the November general election for Mississippi's 4th congressional district. The district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in prior election margins exceeding 20 points and a partisan voting index around R+21, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Hulum's primary victory established the Democratic challenger, but limited campaign activity or external events in the intervening months have left the race's fundamentals largely unchanged. Traders appear to weigh the incumbent's established position and the district's voting patterns more heavily than any early-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$23,880结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with a wide margin and now faces Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III and Independent Carl Boyanton in the November general election for Mississippi's 4th congressional district. The district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in prior election margins exceeding 20 points and a partisan voting index around R+21, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Hulum's primary victory established the Democratic challenger, but limited campaign activity or external events in the intervening months have left the race's fundamentals largely unchanged. Traders appear to weigh the incumbent's established position and the district's voting patterns more heavily than any early-cycle developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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