Mississippi’s 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, anchored by incumbent Mike Ezell’s primary victory and the area’s consistent voting patterns along the Gulf Coast. Ezell secured the GOP nomination with roughly 84 percent in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III prevailed in his party’s contest; an independent candidate also qualified for the November general election. The district has delivered Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, and nonpartisan ratings classify it as a safe hold. With the general election still months away and no major shifts in candidate positioning or district dynamics reported since the primaries, trader consensus heavily favors the Republican nominee as the likely winner.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$23,887 交易量
$23,887 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
74%
民主党
6%
$23,887 交易量
$23,887 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$9,549 交易量
74%
民主党
$14,338 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi’s 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, anchored by incumbent Mike Ezell’s primary victory and the area’s consistent voting patterns along the Gulf Coast. Ezell secured the GOP nomination with roughly 84 percent in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III prevailed in his party’s contest; an independent candidate also qualified for the November general election. The district has delivered Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, and nonpartisan ratings classify it as a safe hold. With the general election still months away and no major shifts in candidate positioning or district dynamics reported since the primaries, trader consensus heavily favors the Republican nominee as the likely winner.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$23,887结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi’s 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, anchored by incumbent Mike Ezell’s primary victory and the area’s consistent voting patterns along the Gulf Coast. Ezell secured the GOP nomination with roughly 84 percent in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III prevailed in his party’s contest; an independent candidate also qualified for the November general election. The district has delivered Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, and nonpartisan ratings classify it as a safe hold. With the general election still months away and no major shifts in candidate positioning or district dynamics reported since the primaries, trader consensus heavily favors the Republican nominee as the likely winner.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$23,887结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mississippi’s 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, anchored by incumbent Mike Ezell’s primary victory and the area’s consistent voting patterns along the Gulf Coast. Ezell secured the GOP nomination with roughly 84 percent in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III prevailed in his party’s contest; an independent candidate also qualified for the November general election. The district has delivered Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, and nonpartisan ratings classify it as a safe hold. With the general election still months away and no major shifts in candidate positioning or district dynamics reported since the primaries, trader consensus heavily favors the Republican nominee as the likely winner.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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