The Mississippi 4th congressional district remains a longstanding Republican stronghold along the Gulf Coast, with the party holding the seat continuously since 2010 and margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Mike Ezell secured renomination in the March 2026 Republican primary with 84 percent of the vote, while Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III prevailed in his party's primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's partisan composition and limited general-election competition. With the November 3 general election still months away and no major shifts in candidate positioning or external events reported since the primaries, traders assign the Republican nominee the clear lead in implied probability, though an independent candidate on the ballot introduces some residual uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$23,880 交易量
$23,880 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
6%
共和党
61%
$23,880 交易量
$23,880 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$14,338 交易量
6%
共和党
$9,542 交易量
61%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Mississippi 4th congressional district remains a longstanding Republican stronghold along the Gulf Coast, with the party holding the seat continuously since 2010 and margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Mike Ezell secured renomination in the March 2026 Republican primary with 84 percent of the vote, while Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III prevailed in his party's primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's partisan composition and limited general-election competition. With the November 3 general election still months away and no major shifts in candidate positioning or external events reported since the primaries, traders assign the Republican nominee the clear lead in implied probability, though an independent candidate on the ballot introduces some residual uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$23,880结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Mississippi 4th congressional district remains a longstanding Republican stronghold along the Gulf Coast, with the party holding the seat continuously since 2010 and margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Mike Ezell secured renomination in the March 2026 Republican primary with 84 percent of the vote, while Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III prevailed in his party's primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's partisan composition and limited general-election competition. With the November 3 general election still months away and no major shifts in candidate positioning or external events reported since the primaries, traders assign the Republican nominee the clear lead in implied probability, though an independent candidate on the ballot introduces some residual uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$23,880结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Mississippi 4th congressional district remains a longstanding Republican stronghold along the Gulf Coast, with the party holding the seat continuously since 2010 and margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Mike Ezell secured renomination in the March 2026 Republican primary with 84 percent of the vote, while Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III prevailed in his party's primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's partisan composition and limited general-election competition. With the November 3 general election still months away and no major shifts in candidate positioning or external events reported since the primaries, traders assign the Republican nominee the clear lead in implied probability, though an independent candidate on the ballot introduces some residual uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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