Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte's re-election campaign anchors trader consensus in the New Hampshire gubernatorial race, with the Republican outcome priced at 79 percent. Ayotte, who secured the office in 2024, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the September 8 vote and benefits from the state's recent pattern of Republican gubernatorial victories. Democrat Cinde Warmington, the presumptive nominee and former Executive Councilor, trails in positioning despite public statements positioning her as competitive. Cook Political Report currently rates the contest Likely Republican, reflecting structural advantages for the incumbent such as name recognition and fundraising capacity ahead of the November 3 general election. No major shifts from polls, endorsements, or events have altered this balance in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,665 交易量
$11,665 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
79%
民主党
21%
$11,665 交易量
$11,665 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$4,683 交易量
79%
民主党
$6,982 交易量
21%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte's re-election campaign anchors trader consensus in the New Hampshire gubernatorial race, with the Republican outcome priced at 79 percent. Ayotte, who secured the office in 2024, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the September 8 vote and benefits from the state's recent pattern of Republican gubernatorial victories. Democrat Cinde Warmington, the presumptive nominee and former Executive Councilor, trails in positioning despite public statements positioning her as competitive. Cook Political Report currently rates the contest Likely Republican, reflecting structural advantages for the incumbent such as name recognition and fundraising capacity ahead of the November 3 general election. No major shifts from polls, endorsements, or events have altered this balance in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ET
交易量
$11,665结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte's re-election campaign anchors trader consensus in the New Hampshire gubernatorial race, with the Republican outcome priced at 79 percent. Ayotte, who secured the office in 2024, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the September 8 vote and benefits from the state's recent pattern of Republican gubernatorial victories. Democrat Cinde Warmington, the presumptive nominee and former Executive Councilor, trails in positioning despite public statements positioning her as competitive. Cook Political Report currently rates the contest Likely Republican, reflecting structural advantages for the incumbent such as name recognition and fundraising capacity ahead of the November 3 general election. No major shifts from polls, endorsements, or events have altered this balance in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$11,665结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte's re-election campaign anchors trader consensus in the New Hampshire gubernatorial race, with the Republican outcome priced at 79 percent. Ayotte, who secured the office in 2024, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the September 8 vote and benefits from the state's recent pattern of Republican gubernatorial victories. Democrat Cinde Warmington, the presumptive nominee and former Executive Councilor, trails in positioning despite public statements positioning her as competitive. Cook Political Report currently rates the contest Likely Republican, reflecting structural advantages for the incumbent such as name recognition and fundraising capacity ahead of the November 3 general election. No major shifts from polls, endorsements, or events have altered this balance in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题