Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a clear edge in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial race, with traders assigning an implied 79% probability to a Republican victory. Ayotte won her first term in 2024 by roughly nine points in a state that has favored Republican governors in recent cycles. The Democratic field centers on former Executive Councilor Cinde Warmington as the presumptive nominee ahead of the September 8 primaries. With the general election still more than three months away, limited polling movement and the structural advantages of incumbency—including name recognition, fundraising, and established voter coalitions—have kept Republican odds elevated. Scheduled primary contests and any shifts in statewide sentiment before November 3 remain the main near-term variables that could adjust positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$11,610 交易量
$11,610 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
79%
民主党
22%
$11,610 交易量
$11,610 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$4,639 交易量
79%
民主党
$6,972 交易量
22%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a clear edge in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial race, with traders assigning an implied 79% probability to a Republican victory. Ayotte won her first term in 2024 by roughly nine points in a state that has favored Republican governors in recent cycles. The Democratic field centers on former Executive Councilor Cinde Warmington as the presumptive nominee ahead of the September 8 primaries. With the general election still more than three months away, limited polling movement and the structural advantages of incumbency—including name recognition, fundraising, and established voter coalitions—have kept Republican odds elevated. Scheduled primary contests and any shifts in statewide sentiment before November 3 remain the main near-term variables that could adjust positioning.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ET
交易量
$11,610结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a clear edge in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial race, with traders assigning an implied 79% probability to a Republican victory. Ayotte won her first term in 2024 by roughly nine points in a state that has favored Republican governors in recent cycles. The Democratic field centers on former Executive Councilor Cinde Warmington as the presumptive nominee ahead of the September 8 primaries. With the general election still more than three months away, limited polling movement and the structural advantages of incumbency—including name recognition, fundraising, and established voter coalitions—have kept Republican odds elevated. Scheduled primary contests and any shifts in statewide sentiment before November 3 remain the main near-term variables that could adjust positioning.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$11,610结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a clear edge in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial race, with traders assigning an implied 79% probability to a Republican victory. Ayotte won her first term in 2024 by roughly nine points in a state that has favored Republican governors in recent cycles. The Democratic field centers on former Executive Councilor Cinde Warmington as the presumptive nominee ahead of the September 8 primaries. With the general election still more than three months away, limited polling movement and the structural advantages of incumbency—including name recognition, fundraising, and established voter coalitions—have kept Republican odds elevated. Scheduled primary contests and any shifts in statewide sentiment before November 3 remain the main near-term variables that could adjust positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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