Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a consistent edge in New Hampshire's 2026 gubernatorial race, with recent University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm College surveys from June showing her ahead of Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington by 5 to 8 points among likely voters. Ayotte's position benefits from incumbency advantages, established name recognition after her first term, and the state's Republican primary on September 8 that features limited serious opposition. Warmington, a former executive councilor, faces a narrow path in a contest rated as leaning Republican by multiple forecasters. The general election on November 3 remains more than two months away, leaving room for shifts from primary outcomes, turnout patterns in key regions, or late campaign developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$15,482 交易量
$15,482 交易量

共和党
84%

民主党
17%
$15,482 交易量
$15,482 交易量

共和党
84%

民主党
17%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间: Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a consistent edge in New Hampshire's 2026 gubernatorial race, with recent University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm College surveys from June showing her ahead of Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington by 5 to 8 points among likely voters. Ayotte's position benefits from incumbency advantages, established name recognition after her first term, and the state's Republican primary on September 8 that features limited serious opposition. Warmington, a former executive councilor, faces a narrow path in a contest rated as leaning Republican by multiple forecasters. The general election on November 3 remains more than two months away, leaving room for shifts from primary outcomes, turnout patterns in key regions, or late campaign developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题