Recent polling from institutes such as Real Time Big Data shows Marília Arraes (PDT) maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat in Pernambuco, while the contest for the second vacancy remains fragmented among roughly a dozen registered candidates. Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho, Eduardo da Fonte (PP), and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD) cluster in the 11-20% range, with limited separation between them. Candidate lists were finalized in early August conventions, leaving little time before the October vote for any single contender to consolidate opposition support or benefit from alliances. This broad distribution of intentions, combined with undecided voters and the two-seat electoral system, sustains tight implied probabilities across multiple names for second place. Further surveys or coalition shifts before election day could produce clearer differentiation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于保罗·鲁本·圣地亚哥 44%
萨缪尔·蒂莫泰奥 44%
图利奥·加德利亚 44%
吉尔万·科斯塔牧师 41%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
保罗·鲁本·圣地亚哥
44%
萨缪尔·蒂莫泰奥
44%
图利奥·加德利亚
44%
吉尔万·科斯塔牧师
41%
卡洛斯·桑塔安娜
41%
爱德华多·达丰特
41%
马丽利娅·阿拉埃斯
41%
Mendonça Filho
41%
戈雷特·比图
41%
洪贝托·科斯塔
41%
Mailson da Silva Neto
41%
马里亚诺·马塞多
41%
保罗·鲁本·圣地亚哥 44%
萨缪尔·蒂莫泰奥 44%
图利奥·加德利亚 44%
吉尔万·科斯塔牧师 41%
最新
最新
2026-10-04
保罗·鲁本·圣地亚哥
$0 交易量
44%
萨缪尔·蒂莫泰奥
$0 交易量
44%
图利奥·加德利亚
$0 交易量
44%
吉尔万·科斯塔牧师
$0 交易量
41%
卡洛斯·桑塔安娜
$0 交易量
41%
爱德华多·达丰特
$0 交易量
41%
马丽利娅·阿拉埃斯
$0 交易量
41%
Mendonça Filho
$0 交易量
41%
戈雷特·比图
$0 交易量
41%
洪贝托·科斯塔
$0 交易量
41%
Mailson da Silva Neto
$0 交易量
41%
马里亚诺·马塞多
$0 交易量
41%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes such as Real Time Big Data shows Marília Arraes (PDT) maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat in Pernambuco, while the contest for the second vacancy remains fragmented among roughly a dozen registered candidates. Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho, Eduardo da Fonte (PP), and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD) cluster in the 11-20% range, with limited separation between them. Candidate lists were finalized in early August conventions, leaving little time before the October vote for any single contender to consolidate opposition support or benefit from alliances. This broad distribution of intentions, combined with undecided voters and the two-seat electoral system, sustains tight implied probabilities across multiple names for second place. Further surveys or coalition shifts before election day could produce clearer differentiation.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes such as Real Time Big Data shows Marília Arraes (PDT) maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat in Pernambuco, while the contest for the second vacancy remains fragmented among roughly a dozen registered candidates. Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho, Eduardo da Fonte (PP), and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD) cluster in the 11-20% range, with limited separation between them. Candidate lists were finalized in early August conventions, leaving little time before the October vote for any single contender to consolidate opposition support or benefit from alliances. This broad distribution of intentions, combined with undecided voters and the two-seat electoral system, sustains tight implied probabilities across multiple names for second place. Further surveys or coalition shifts before election day could produce clearer differentiation.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from institutes such as Real Time Big Data shows Marília Arraes (PDT) maintaining a clear lead for one Senate seat in Pernambuco, while the contest for the second vacancy remains fragmented among roughly a dozen registered candidates. Humberto Costa (PT), Mendonça Filho, Eduardo da Fonte (PP), and Túlio Gadêlha (PSD) cluster in the 11-20% range, with limited separation between them. Candidate lists were finalized in early August conventions, leaving little time before the October vote for any single contender to consolidate opposition support or benefit from alliances. This broad distribution of intentions, combined with undecided voters and the two-seat electoral system, sustains tight implied probabilities across multiple names for second place. Further surveys or coalition shifts before election day could produce clearer differentiation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题