**Strong critical reception and an extended standing ovation at its Venice Film Festival premiere have lifted trader expectations for *Primetime*’s domestic opening weekend above early tracking estimates.** The A24 psychological thriller, starring Robert Pattinson as *To Catch a Predator* host Chris Hansen, earned a 93% Rotten Tomatoes score and widespread praise for his committed, unsettling lead performance following its September 5 debut. This momentum, combined with A24’s recent commercial success via *Backrooms*, has shifted implied probabilities heavily toward the 22M+ bracket (64%) and 19-22M range (34%), as traders weigh the film’s awards-season positioning against a crowded September 25 release slate that includes Brad Pitt’s *Heart of the Beast* and Universal’s *Forgotten Island*. With the wide debut imminent, final presales and word-of-mouth will determine whether the Venice buzz translates into a robust start or reverts toward more modest indie-drama norms.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于“黄金时段”开盘周末票房
“黄金时段”开盘周末票房
2200万+ 65%
1900万-2200万 34%
1600万-1900万 1.4%
1000-1300万 <1%
$41,600 交易量
$41,600 交易量
2026-09-27
低于1000万美元
<1%
1000-1300万
1%
1300万-1600万美元
1%
1600万-1900万
1%
1900万-2200万
34%
2200万+
65%
2200万+ 65%
1900万-2200万 34%
1600万-1900万 1.4%
1000-1300万 <1%
$41,600 交易量
$41,600 交易量
2026-09-27
低于1000万美元
$3,144 交易量
<1%
1000-1300万
$4,653 交易量
1%
1300万-1600万美元
$5,606 交易量
1%
1600万-1900万
$5,172 交易量
1%
1900万-2200万
$11,038 交易量
34%
2200万+
$11,988 交易量
65%
This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong critical reception and an extended standing ovation at its Venice Film Festival premiere have lifted trader expectations for *Primetime*’s domestic opening weekend above early tracking estimates.** The A24 psychological thriller, starring Robert Pattinson as *To Catch a Predator* host Chris Hansen, earned a 93% Rotten Tomatoes score and widespread praise for his committed, unsettling lead performance following its September 5 debut. This momentum, combined with A24’s recent commercial success via *Backrooms*, has shifted implied probabilities heavily toward the 22M+ bracket (64%) and 19-22M range (34%), as traders weigh the film’s awards-season positioning against a crowded September 25 release slate that includes Brad Pitt’s *Heart of the Beast* and Universal’s *Forgotten Island*. With the wide debut imminent, final presales and word-of-mouth will determine whether the Venice buzz translates into a robust start or reverts toward more modest indie-drama norms.
This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 10:20 PM ET
交易量
$41,600结束日期
2026-09-27市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 10:20 PM ETThis market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong critical reception and an extended standing ovation at its Venice Film Festival premiere have lifted trader expectations for *Primetime*’s domestic opening weekend above early tracking estimates.** The A24 psychological thriller, starring Robert Pattinson as *To Catch a Predator* host Chris Hansen, earned a 93% Rotten Tomatoes score and widespread praise for his committed, unsettling lead performance following its September 5 debut. This momentum, combined with A24’s recent commercial success via *Backrooms*, has shifted implied probabilities heavily toward the 22M+ bracket (64%) and 19-22M range (34%), as traders weigh the film’s awards-season positioning against a crowded September 25 release slate that includes Brad Pitt’s *Heart of the Beast* and Universal’s *Forgotten Island*. With the wide debut imminent, final presales and word-of-mouth will determine whether the Venice buzz translates into a robust start or reverts toward more modest indie-drama norms.
This market will resolve according to how much "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 25 - 27) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$41,600结束日期
2026-09-27市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 10:20 PM ET**Strong critical reception and an extended standing ovation at its Venice Film Festival premiere have lifted trader expectations for *Primetime*’s domestic opening weekend above early tracking estimates.** The A24 psychological thriller, starring Robert Pattinson as *To Catch a Predator* host Chris Hansen, earned a 93% Rotten Tomatoes score and widespread praise for his committed, unsettling lead performance following its September 5 debut. This momentum, combined with A24’s recent commercial success via *Backrooms*, has shifted implied probabilities heavily toward the 22M+ bracket (64%) and 19-22M range (34%), as traders weigh the film’s awards-season positioning against a crowded September 25 release slate that includes Brad Pitt’s *Heart of the Beast* and Universal’s *Forgotten Island*. With the wide debut imminent, final presales and word-of-mouth will determine whether the Venice buzz translates into a robust start or reverts toward more modest indie-drama norms.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题