In Roraima’s Senate contest for first place, trader pricing reflects a fragmented field of more than a dozen registered candidates, with no single name commanding a dominant share after the August 15, 2026, registration deadline. Recent Veritá surveys from earlier in the cycle showed Antonio Denarium and Teresa Surita ahead before Denarium’s ineligibility ruling, leaving the race open among figures such as Hiperion de Oliveira, Helena da Asatur, Bartô Macuxi, Nicoletti, and Chico Rodrigues. Limited fresh statewide polling, high undecided shares, and the state’s small electorate keep probabilities closely bunched. Late-campaign developments including candidate alliances, targeted regional outreach, or new survey releases could consolidate support and widen gaps ahead of the October 4 vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Hilton Xavier 46%
Regina Tio Ivo 46%
Márcio Junqueira 46%
Pastor Isamar 45%

Hilton Xavier
46%

Regina Tio Ivo
46%

Márcio Junqueira
46%

Pastor Isamar
45%

Chico Rodrigues
43%

Helio Bolsonaro
43%

Hiperion de Oliveira
41%

Teresa Surita
41%

Nicoletti
41%

Mario Rocha
39%

Bartô Macuxi
38%

Rogério Miranda
28%

Helena da Asatur
23%
Hilton Xavier 46%
Regina Tio Ivo 46%
Márcio Junqueira 46%
Pastor Isamar 45%

Hilton Xavier
46%

Regina Tio Ivo
46%

Márcio Junqueira
46%

Pastor Isamar
45%

Chico Rodrigues
43%

Helio Bolsonaro
43%

Hiperion de Oliveira
41%

Teresa Surita
41%

Nicoletti
41%

Mario Rocha
39%

Bartô Macuxi
38%

Rogério Miranda
28%

Helena da Asatur
23%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间: Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In Roraima’s Senate contest for first place, trader pricing reflects a fragmented field of more than a dozen registered candidates, with no single name commanding a dominant share after the August 15, 2026, registration deadline. Recent Veritá surveys from earlier in the cycle showed Antonio Denarium and Teresa Surita ahead before Denarium’s ineligibility ruling, leaving the race open among figures such as Hiperion de Oliveira, Helena da Asatur, Bartô Macuxi, Nicoletti, and Chico Rodrigues. Limited fresh statewide polling, high undecided shares, and the state’s small electorate keep probabilities closely bunched. Late-campaign developments including candidate alliances, targeted regional outreach, or new survey releases could consolidate support and widen gaps ahead of the October 4 vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


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