**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** continues its dominant theatrical run into its sixth weekend (Labor Day, September 4–7, 2026), with traders heavily favoring a 15M+ domestic gross (69.5% implied probability). The Sony/Marvel release opened to a record $360M domestic in late July, posted a 2.5x multiplier through five weekends, and reached roughly $896M cumulative by early September while holding the No. 1 spot daily. Its fifth weekend (Aug 28–30) grossed $22.5M amid typical post-summer softening, but daily figures show resilient midweek performance. Labor Day’s extended holiday frame historically delivers a box-office lift for holdovers, supporting the market’s strong consensus on 15M+. Precedent for similar tentpoles and the film’s consistent audience demand reinforce this positioning, though competition and the natural sixth-week drop remain swing factors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于《蜘蛛侠:全新一天》第六周末票房
1500万美元以上 61%
1400万-1500万 24%
1300万-1400万 18%
1200万-1300万 2%
低于1100万
2%
1100万-1200万美元
1%
1200万-1300万
14%
1300万-1400万
18%
1400万-1500万
24%
1500万美元以上
77%
1500万美元以上 61%
1400万-1500万 24%
1300万-1400万 18%
1200万-1300万 2%
低于1100万
2%
1100万-1200万美元
1%
1200万-1300万
14%
1300万-1400万
18%
1400万-1500万
24%
1500万美元以上
77%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间: Sep 2, 2026, 6:56 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** continues its dominant theatrical run into its sixth weekend (Labor Day, September 4–7, 2026), with traders heavily favoring a 15M+ domestic gross (69.5% implied probability). The Sony/Marvel release opened to a record $360M domestic in late July, posted a 2.5x multiplier through five weekends, and reached roughly $896M cumulative by early September while holding the No. 1 spot daily. Its fifth weekend (Aug 28–30) grossed $22.5M amid typical post-summer softening, but daily figures show resilient midweek performance. Labor Day’s extended holiday frame historically delivers a box-office lift for holdovers, supporting the market’s strong consensus on 15M+. Precedent for similar tentpoles and the film’s consistent audience demand reinforce this positioning, though competition and the natural sixth-week drop remain swing factors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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