**Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s 7th weekend box office sits at a market-implied 96.2% probability of finishing under $9 million because the film is deep into its theatrical run after a record-shattering July 31, 2026 debut.** The Sony/Marvel title opened to a franchise-best $360 million domestic and crossed $900 million stateside by early September, but typical post-summer drops, shrinking theater counts (down from 4,500+ to around 3,500), and per-theater averages falling below $5,000 have driven sharp weekly declines. Weekend 6 already posted roughly $18 million amid Labor Day adjustments, and further erosion is the expected pattern for even the biggest blockbusters once initial audience excitement fades. Traders see limited upside from new competition or late marketing, with an upset above $9–10 million requiring an unlikely combination of strong word-of-mouth resurgence or unexpected holdover strength in a crowded September marketplace.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于《蜘蛛侠：全新一天》第七周末票房
《蜘蛛侠：全新一天》第七周末票房
小于900万 97.0%
900万-1000万美元 1.8%
1000万-1100万美元 1.1%
1100万-1200万美元 <1%
最新
$35,436 交易量
最新
$35,436 交易量
2026-09-13
小于900万
97%
900万-1000万美元
2%
1000万-1100万美元
1%
1100万-1200万美元
1%
1200万+
<1%
小于900万 97.0%
900万-1000万美元 1.8%
1000万-1100万美元 1.1%
1100万-1200万美元 <1%
最新
$35,436 交易量
最新
$35,436 交易量
2026-09-13
小于900万
$18,736 交易量
97%
900万-1000万美元
$8,253 交易量
2%
1000万-1100万美元
$6,555 交易量
1%
1100万-1200万美元
$1,410 交易量
1%
1200万+
$482 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 7th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s 7th weekend box office sits at a market-implied 96.2% probability of finishing under $9 million because the film is deep into its theatrical run after a record-shattering July 31, 2026 debut.**
The Sony/Marvel title opened to a franchise-best $360 million domestic and crossed $900 million stateside by early September, but typical post-summer drops, shrinking theater counts (down from 4,500+ to around 3,500), and per-theater averages falling below $5,000 have driven sharp weekly declines. Weekend 6 already posted roughly $18 million amid Labor Day adjustments, and further erosion is the expected pattern for even the biggest blockbusters once initial audience excitement fades.
Traders see limited upside from new competition or late marketing, with an upset above $9–10 million requiring an unlikely combination of strong word-of-mouth resurgence or unexpected holdover strength in a crowded September marketplace.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 7th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Sep 10, 2026, 10:20 AM ET
交易量
$35,436结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 10:20 AM ETThis market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 7th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s 7th weekend box office sits at a market-implied 96.2% probability of finishing under $9 million because the film is deep into its theatrical run after a record-shattering July 31, 2026 debut.**
The Sony/Marvel title opened to a franchise-best $360 million domestic and crossed $900 million stateside by early September, but typical post-summer drops, shrinking theater counts (down from 4,500+ to around 3,500), and per-theater averages falling below $5,000 have driven sharp weekly declines. Weekend 6 already posted roughly $18 million amid Labor Day adjustments, and further erosion is the expected pattern for even the biggest blockbusters once initial audience excitement fades.
Traders see limited upside from new competition or late marketing, with an upset above $9–10 million requiring an unlikely combination of strong word-of-mouth resurgence or unexpected holdover strength in a crowded September marketplace.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 7th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$35,436结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Sep 10, 2026, 10:20 AM ET**Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s 7th weekend box office sits at a market-implied 96.2% probability of finishing under $9 million because the film is deep into its theatrical run after a record-shattering July 31, 2026 debut.** The Sony/Marvel title opened to a franchise-best $360 million domestic and crossed $900 million stateside by early September, but typical post-summer drops, shrinking theater counts (down from 4,500+ to around 3,500), and per-theater averages falling below $5,000 have driven sharp weekly declines. Weekend 6 already posted roughly $18 million amid Labor Day adjustments, and further erosion is the expected pattern for even the biggest blockbusters once initial audience excitement fades. Traders see limited upside from new competition or late marketing, with an upset above $9–10 million requiring an unlikely combination of strong word-of-mouth resurgence or unexpected holdover strength in a crowded September marketplace.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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