James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination by defeating U.S. Representative Jasmine Crockett in the March primary, while Ken Paxton captured the Republican nomination by defeating incumbent Senator John Cornyn in the May 26 runoff. President Donald Trump’s endorsement helped consolidate support for Paxton in the final weeks, reflecting voter preference for a more confrontational approach over Cornyn’s establishment record. With both party primaries now complete, trader consensus has aligned on the Talarico-Paxton general election matchup. Late-stage developments such as a candidate withdrawal, successful legal challenge to primary results, or unforeseen health event could still alter the field before November, though such outcomes remain low-probability given the recency and decisiveness of the votes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Texas Senate Election Matchup
Texas Senate Election Matchup
Talarico & Paxton 100.0%
Talarico & Cornyn <1%
Talarico & Hunt <1%
Crockett & Paxton <1%
$771,322 交易量
$771,322 交易量
2026-03-03
Talarico & Paxton
Yes
Talarico & Cornyn
No
Talarico & Hunt
No
Crockett & Paxton
No
Crockett & Cornyn
No
Crockett & Hunt
No
Other
No
Talarico & Paxton 100.0%
Talarico & Cornyn <1%
Talarico & Hunt <1%
Crockett & Paxton <1%
$771,322 交易量
$771,322 交易量
2026-03-03
Talarico & Paxton
$308,863 交易量
Yes
Talarico & Cornyn
$209,005 交易量
No
Talarico & Hunt
$24,084 交易量
No
Crockett & Paxton
$107,069 交易量
No
Crockett & Cornyn
$70,046 交易量
No
Crockett & Hunt
$24,730 交易量
No
Other
$27,524 交易量
No
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination by defeating U.S. Representative Jasmine Crockett in the March primary, while Ken Paxton captured the Republican nomination by defeating incumbent Senator John Cornyn in the May 26 runoff. President Donald Trump’s endorsement helped consolidate support for Paxton in the final weeks, reflecting voter preference for a more confrontational approach over Cornyn’s establishment record. With both party primaries now complete, trader consensus has aligned on the Talarico-Paxton general election matchup. Late-stage developments such as a candidate withdrawal, successful legal challenge to primary results, or unforeseen health event could still alter the field before November, though such outcomes remain low-probability given the recency and decisiveness of the votes.
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市场开放时间： Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
交易量
$771,322结束日期
2026-03-03市场开放时间
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination by defeating U.S. Representative Jasmine Crockett in the March primary, while Ken Paxton captured the Republican nomination by defeating incumbent Senator John Cornyn in the May 26 runoff. President Donald Trump’s endorsement helped consolidate support for Paxton in the final weeks, reflecting voter preference for a more confrontational approach over Cornyn’s establishment record. With both party primaries now complete, trader consensus has aligned on the Talarico-Paxton general election matchup. Late-stage developments such as a candidate withdrawal, successful legal challenge to primary results, or unforeseen health event could still alter the field before November, though such outcomes remain low-probability given the recency and decisiveness of the votes.
The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this market’s resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$771,322结束日期
2026-03-03市场开放时间
Feb 18, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
James Talarico secured the Democratic nomination by defeating U.S. Representative Jasmine Crockett in the March primary, while Ken Paxton captured the Republican nomination by defeating incumbent Senator John Cornyn in the May 26 runoff. President Donald Trump’s endorsement helped consolidate support for Paxton in the final weeks, reflecting voter preference for a more confrontational approach over Cornyn’s establishment record. With both party primaries now complete, trader consensus has aligned on the Talarico-Paxton general election matchup. Late-stage developments such as a candidate withdrawal, successful legal challenge to primary results, or unforeseen health event could still alter the field before November, though such outcomes remain low-probability given the recency and decisiveness of the votes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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