President Trump's Truth Social posts from May 4-10 reflected his characteristic blend of foreign policy pronouncements and eccentric content amid U.S.-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz. On May 5-6, he issued direct ultimatums warning Iran of intensified actions, building on prior escalations. A May 4 AI-generated Star Wars image and abs selfie sparked mental fitness commentary, while a May 9 posting spree of 30 entries included conspiracy theories, a corgi video, and Russia-Ukraine ceasefire terms. Traders weigh these patterns—policy rants, AI media, and volume surges—against geopolitical catalysts like diplomatic deadlines, with market resolution hinging on verified posts matching outcome criteria.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$12,556 交易量
2026-05-10
Hell
Yes
Blockade
Yes
Venezuela
No
Secret Service
Yes
TrumpIRA / TrumpIRA.gov
No
Ceasefire / Cease-fire / Cease fire
Yes
King
Yes
Ass / Shit
Yes
Senior
Yes
Islamabad
No
Paper tiger
No
FBI
Yes
No Card
No
Jimmy / Kimmel
No
Terminate the Filibuster
No
Crypto / Bitcoin
No
$12,556 交易量
Hell
$366 交易量
Yes
Blockade
$695 交易量
Yes
Venezuela
$375 交易量
No
Secret Service
$1,130 交易量
Yes
TrumpIRA / TrumpIRA.gov
$255 交易量
No
Ceasefire / Cease-fire / Cease fire
$1,186 交易量
Yes
King
$583 交易量
Yes
Ass / Shit
$921 交易量
Yes
Senior
$602 交易量
Yes
Islamabad
$191 交易量
No
Paper tiger
$415 交易量
No
FBI
$2,019 交易量
Yes
No Card
$1,477 交易量
No
Jimmy / Kimmel
$218 交易量
No
Terminate the Filibuster
$399 交易量
No
Crypto / Bitcoin
$1,724 交易量
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between May 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.President Trump's Truth Social posts from May 4-10 reflected his characteristic blend of foreign policy pronouncements and eccentric content amid U.S.-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz. On May 5-6, he issued direct ultimatums warning Iran of intensified actions, building on prior escalations. A May 4 AI-generated Star Wars image and abs selfie sparked mental fitness commentary, while a May 9 posting spree of 30 entries included conspiracy theories, a corgi video, and Russia-Ukraine ceasefire terms. Traders weigh these patterns—policy rants, AI media, and volume surges—against geopolitical catalysts like diplomatic deadlines, with market resolution hinging on verified posts matching outcome criteria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between May 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
市场开放时间： May 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
交易量
$12,556结束日期
2026-05-10市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between May 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.President Trump's Truth Social posts from May 4-10 reflected his characteristic blend of foreign policy pronouncements and eccentric content amid U.S.-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz. On May 5-6, he issued direct ultimatums warning Iran of intensified actions, building on prior escalations. A May 4 AI-generated Star Wars image and abs selfie sparked mental fitness commentary, while a May 9 posting spree of 30 entries included conspiracy theories, a corgi video, and Russia-Ukraine ceasefire terms. Traders weigh these patterns—policy rants, AI media, and volume surges—against geopolitical catalysts like diplomatic deadlines, with market resolution hinging on verified posts matching outcome criteria.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between May 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
交易量
$12,556结束日期
2026-05-10市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
President Trump's Truth Social posts from May 4-10 reflected his characteristic blend of foreign policy pronouncements and eccentric content amid U.S.-Iran tensions over the Strait of Hormuz. On May 5-6, he issued direct ultimatums warning Iran of intensified actions, building on prior escalations. A May 4 AI-generated Star Wars image and abs selfie sparked mental fitness commentary, while a May 9 posting spree of 30 entries included conspiracy theories, a corgi video, and Russia-Ukraine ceasefire terms. Traders weigh these patterns—policy rants, AI media, and volume surges—against geopolitical catalysts like diplomatic deadlines, with market resolution hinging on verified posts matching outcome criteria.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题