President Trump's scheduled Nevada visit on April 19 to promote no-tax-on-tips and tax policies amid the federal tax deadline has elevated trader consensus for verbal mentions of signature phrases like "Epic Fury" (78%), "Transgender" (72%), and "Make America Great Again" (70%) during the April 13-19 window. Recent escalatory rhetoric in his April 6 press conference preceded the April 7 U.S.-Iran two-week ceasefire agreement ("two-week" at 67%), with ongoing Islamabad peace talks testing de-escalation signals that boost odds on conflict-related terms such as "Hezbollah" (65%) and "see what happens" (68%). These probabilities reflect the wisdom of crowds on Trump's historical public speaking patterns during open-press events and addresses.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Make America Great Again
74%
Transgender
72%
Epic Fury
79%
Sleepy Joe
75%
Ass
34%
Sucker / Loser
65%
Barack Hussein Obama
70%
Hezbollah
62%
Christmas
41%
Boy oh boy
30%
TACO / Trump Always Chickens Out
24%
AOC
29%
Losing MAGA
29%
All over the place
61%
Jesus
36%
Two week / two-week
69%
Gulf of America
21%
See what happens
72%
Six Seven
39%
Peanut
30%
Central Casting
48%
Regarded
27%
Crypto / Bitcoin
36%
No No No
74%
Gay for Palestine
15%
Nuke
40%
Melania
57%
Four to Six
49%
$400 交易量
Make America Great Again
74%
Transgender
72%
Epic Fury
79%
Sleepy Joe
75%
Ass
34%
Sucker / Loser
65%
Barack Hussein Obama
70%
Hezbollah
62%
Christmas
41%
Boy oh boy
30%
TACO / Trump Always Chickens Out
24%
AOC
29%
Losing MAGA
29%
All over the place
61%
Jesus
36%
Two week / two-week
69%
Gulf of America
21%
See what happens
72%
Six Seven
39%
Peanut
30%
Central Casting
48%
Regarded
27%
Crypto / Bitcoin
36%
No No No
74%
Gay for Palestine
15%
Nuke
40%
Melania
57%
Four to Six
49%
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 10, 2026, 4:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's scheduled Nevada visit on April 19 to promote no-tax-on-tips and tax policies amid the federal tax deadline has elevated trader consensus for verbal mentions of signature phrases like "Epic Fury" (78%), "Transgender" (72%), and "Make America Great Again" (70%) during the April 13-19 window. Recent escalatory rhetoric in his April 6 press conference preceded the April 7 U.S.-Iran two-week ceasefire agreement ("two-week" at 67%), with ongoing Islamabad peace talks testing de-escalation signals that boost odds on conflict-related terms such as "Hezbollah" (65%) and "see what happens" (68%). These probabilities reflect the wisdom of crowds on Trump's historical public speaking patterns during open-press events and addresses.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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