President Donald Trump's recent Truth Social activity, dominated by profane ultimatums against Iran—including Easter Sunday threats to "open the Fuckin' Strait" or face hellish consequences and warnings of a civilization's destruction—has shaped trader expectations for his posting patterns during April 13-19. Amid a fragile two-week ceasefire, Vice President JD Vance's departure for peace talks in Pakistan underscores ongoing diplomatic pressures following U.S. military posturing and Trump's boasts of future "conquests." With no major scheduled events like summits or court dates in the resolution window, traders focus on potential escalations in Iran Strait tensions, tariffs litigation, or ad hoc foreign policy announcements, consistent with his high-volume, combative style on national security and executive actions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-04-19
Ass / Shit
20%
Stupid
84%
Sleepy Joe
57%
New York Times
65%
AG / Attorney General
57%
Charlie / Kirk
49%
Hezbollah
53%
God Bless America
31%
UFC
31%
Free Tina Peters
30%
POTUS
28%
Military Operation
65%
Ballroom
63%
Panican
27%
Save America Act / Save Act
82%
Epic Fury
66%
Crypto / Bitcoin
51%
Harvard
52%
FBI
67%
Lisa
52%
Viktor / Orban / Orbán
66%
China / Xi
75%
Democrat Shutdown
51%
TSA / DHS
51%
Endorsed / Endorsement
81%
Poll / Polling
59%
Spain
28%
Banned
28%
Epstein
35%
Hoax
43%
$113 交易量
Ass / Shit
$0 交易量
20%
Stupid
$98 交易量
84%
Sleepy Joe
$0 交易量
57%
New York Times
$0 交易量
65%
AG / Attorney General
$0 交易量
57%
Charlie / Kirk
$0 交易量
49%
Hezbollah
$0 交易量
53%
God Bless America
$0 交易量
31%
UFC
$6 交易量
31%
Free Tina Peters
$0 交易量
30%
POTUS
$0 交易量
28%
Military Operation
$0 交易量
65%
Ballroom
$0 交易量
63%
Panican
$2 交易量
27%
Save America Act / Save Act
$0 交易量
82%
Epic Fury
$0 交易量
66%
Crypto / Bitcoin
$0 交易量
51%
Harvard
$0 交易量
52%
FBI
$0 交易量
67%
Lisa
$0 交易量
52%
Viktor / Orban / Orbán
$0 交易量
66%
China / Xi
$3 交易量
75%
Democrat Shutdown
$0 交易量
51%
TSA / DHS
$0 交易量
51%
Endorsed / Endorsement
$0 交易量
81%
Poll / Polling
$0 交易量
59%
Spain
$2 交易量
28%
Banned
$2 交易量
28%
Epstein
$0 交易量
35%
Hoax
$0 交易量
43%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.President Donald Trump's recent Truth Social activity, dominated by profane ultimatums against Iran—including Easter Sunday threats to "open the Fuckin' Strait" or face hellish consequences and warnings of a civilization's destruction—has shaped trader expectations for his posting patterns during April 13-19. Amid a fragile two-week ceasefire, Vice President JD Vance's departure for peace talks in Pakistan underscores ongoing diplomatic pressures following U.S. military posturing and Trump's boasts of future "conquests." With no major scheduled events like summits or court dates in the resolution window, traders focus on potential escalations in Iran Strait tensions, tariffs litigation, or ad hoc foreign policy announcements, consistent with his high-volume, combative style on national security and executive actions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
市场开放时间： Apr 10, 2026, 4:37 PM ET
交易量
$113结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Apr 10, 2026, 4:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.President Donald Trump's recent Truth Social activity, dominated by profane ultimatums against Iran—including Easter Sunday threats to "open the Fuckin' Strait" or face hellish consequences and warnings of a civilization's destruction—has shaped trader expectations for his posting patterns during April 13-19. Amid a fragile two-week ceasefire, Vice President JD Vance's departure for peace talks in Pakistan underscores ongoing diplomatic pressures following U.S. military posturing and Trump's boasts of future "conquests." With no major scheduled events like summits or court dates in the resolution window, traders focus on potential escalations in Iran Strait tensions, tariffs litigation, or ad hoc foreign policy announcements, consistent with his high-volume, combative style on national security and executive actions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
交易量
$113结束日期
2026-04-19市场开放时间
Apr 10, 2026, 4:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump's recent Truth Social activity, dominated by profane ultimatums against Iran—including Easter Sunday threats to "open the Fuckin' Strait" or face hellish consequences and warnings of a civilization's destruction—has shaped trader expectations for his posting patterns during April 13-19. Amid a fragile two-week ceasefire, Vice President JD Vance's departure for peace talks in Pakistan underscores ongoing diplomatic pressures following U.S. military posturing and Trump's boasts of future "conquests." With no major scheduled events like summits or court dates in the resolution window, traders focus on potential escalations in Iran Strait tensions, tariffs litigation, or ad hoc foreign policy announcements, consistent with his high-volume, combative style on national security and executive actions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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