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Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

Market icon

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

最新
2026-04-11
Polymarket

$5,502 交易量

Polymarket

April 11

$158 交易量

57%

April 12

$25 交易量

58%

April 13

$46 交易量

55%

April 14

$69 交易量

55%

April 15

$1,590 交易量

59%

April 16

$41 交易量

59%

April 17

$39 交易量

61%

April 18

$6 交易量

61%

April 19

$6 交易量

59%

April 20

$471 交易量

61%

April 21

$6 交易量

59%

April 22

$6 交易量

60%

April 23

$326 交易量

73%

April 24

$2,712 交易量

62%

April 25

$2 交易量

59%

April 26

$0 交易量

60%

April 27

$0 交易量

60%

April 28

$0 交易量

60%

April 29

$0 交易量

60%

April 30

$0 交易量

61%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's consistent use of personal insults in public statements, particularly on Truth Social and during White House events, drives trader consensus in this market tracking daily or periodic occurrences. Over the past week, he publicly assailed MAGA media figures like Tucker Carlson, Megyn Kelly, Candace Owens, and Alex Jones—labeling them "stupid," "losers," and "irrelevant"—for criticizing his Iran policy threats, while also drawing rebukes from Greenland's prime minister over Arctic remarks and briefly posting a video mocking French President Macron's marriage. This pattern, amid escalating Iran tensions and NATO strains, reflects his rhetorical style amid foreign policy pressures, with upcoming press briefings or Oval Office addresses likely to influence outcomes before market resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$5,502
结束日期
2026-04-30
市场开放时间
Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Donald Trump's consistent use of personal insults in public statements, particularly on Truth Social and during White House events, drives trader consensus in this market tracking daily or periodic occurrences. Over the past week, he publicly assailed MAGA media figures like Tucker Carlson, Megyn Kelly, Candace Owens, and Alex Jones—labeling them "stupid," "losers," and "irrelevant"—for criticizing his Iran policy threats, while also drawing rebukes from Greenland's prime minister over Arctic remarks and briefly posting a video mocking French President Macron's marriage. This pattern, amid escalating Iran tensions and NATO strains, reflects his rhetorical style amid foreign policy pressures, with upcoming press briefings or Oval Office addresses likely to influence outcomes before market resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$5,502
结束日期
2026-04-30
市场开放时间
Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 20 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"April 23",概率为 73%,其次是"April 24",概率为 62%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 73¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 73%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Apr 10, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 20 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?"的当前领先者是"April 23",概率为 73%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 73%。紧随其后的结果是"April 24",概率为 62%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。