Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 80-99 Truth Social posts outcome at 30%, closely trailed by 100-119 at 26.5% and 60-79 at 23%, reflecting Donald Trump's consistent but variable posting volume of 10-12 per day over recent weeks, including 80-99 posts from March 27 to April 3. Early April data shows fluctuations—13 posts on April 1, 18 on April 2, and 9 on April 3—driven by responses to policy developments, cabinet nominations, and executive actions amid his presidential duties. The tight race persists due to high variance from occasional late-night barrages exceeding 100 posts daily, while scheduled events like Holy Week observances or international summits could suppress activity below 80, potentially creating separation if major announcements trigger spikes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于80-99 30%
100-119 27%
60-79 23%
120-139 19%
最新
最新
2026-04-14
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
2%
60-79
23%
80-99
30%
100-119
27%
120-139
19%
140-159
7%
160-179
5%
180-199
3%
200+
1%
80-99 30%
100-119 27%
60-79 23%
120-139 19%
最新
最新
2026-04-14
<20
$1,914 交易量
<1%
20-39
$332 交易量
<1%
40-59
$202 交易量
2%
60-79
$0 交易量
23%
80-99
$31 交易量
30%
100-119
$0 交易量
27%
120-139
$0 交易量
19%
140-159
$0 交易量
7%
160-179
$0 交易量
5%
180-199
$0 交易量
3%
200+
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 80-99 Truth Social posts outcome at 30%, closely trailed by 100-119 at 26.5% and 60-79 at 23%, reflecting Donald Trump's consistent but variable posting volume of 10-12 per day over recent weeks, including 80-99 posts from March 27 to April 3. Early April data shows fluctuations—13 posts on April 1, 18 on April 2, and 9 on April 3—driven by responses to policy developments, cabinet nominations, and executive actions amid his presidential duties. The tight race persists due to high variance from occasional late-night barrages exceeding 100 posts daily, while scheduled events like Holy Week observances or international summits could suppress activity below 80, potentially creating separation if major announcements trigger spikes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Apr 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$2,479结束日期
2026-04-14市场开放时间
Apr 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 80-99 Truth Social posts outcome at 30%, closely trailed by 100-119 at 26.5% and 60-79 at 23%, reflecting Donald Trump's consistent but variable posting volume of 10-12 per day over recent weeks, including 80-99 posts from March 27 to April 3. Early April data shows fluctuations—13 posts on April 1, 18 on April 2, and 9 on April 3—driven by responses to policy developments, cabinet nominations, and executive actions amid his presidential duties. The tight race persists due to high variance from occasional late-night barrages exceeding 100 posts daily, while scheduled events like Holy Week observances or international summits could suppress activity below 80, potentially creating separation if major announcements trigger spikes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$2,479结束日期
2026-04-14市场开放时间
Apr 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices the 80-99 Truth Social posts outcome at 30%, closely trailed by 100-119 at 26.5% and 60-79 at 23%, reflecting Donald Trump's consistent but variable posting volume of 10-12 per day over recent weeks, including 80-99 posts from March 27 to April 3. Early April data shows fluctuations—13 posts on April 1, 18 on April 2, and 9 on April 3—driven by responses to policy developments, cabinet nominations, and executive actions amid his presidential duties. The tight race persists due to high variance from occasional late-night barrages exceeding 100 posts daily, while scheduled events like Holy Week observances or international summits could suppress activity below 80, potentially creating separation if major announcements trigger spikes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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