Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs Elon Musk's X posts from April 2-4 at 65-89 (37% implied probability) and 40-64 (29%), reflecting his recent moderated pace of 20-30 daily engagements amid a quieter late-March period, down from the month's overall average exceeding 40 posts per day. This competitive split underscores variability in Musk's social media rhythm, influenced by Tesla developments, SpaceX updates, and pop culture moments like viral memes or political discourse that can surge volume. Absent confirmed catalysts—no major announcements or controversies in the past 48 hours—key swing factors include weekend posting dips or unexpected xAI/Tesla news, with real-time trackers like XTracker poised to signal shifts before resolution on April 5.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月2日至4月4日？
Elon Musk # tweets 2026年4月2日至4月4日？
65-89 38%
40-64 29%
90-114 23%
115-139 7%
最新
$109,302 交易量
最新
$109,302 交易量
2026-04-04
少于40条
4%
40-64
29%
65-89
38%
90-114
23%
115-139
7%
140-164
1%
165-189
1%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 38%
40-64 29%
90-114 23%
115-139 7%
最新
$109,302 交易量
最新
$109,302 交易量
2026-04-04
少于40条
$11,662 交易量
4%
40-64
$5,649 交易量
29%
65-89
$6,398 交易量
38%
90-114
$5,390 交易量
23%
115-139
$8,856 交易量
7%
140-164
$14,227 交易量
1%
165-189
$12,473 交易量
1%
190-214
$11,047 交易量
1%
215-239
$18,512 交易量
<1%
240+
$15,127 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs Elon Musk's X posts from April 2-4 at 65-89 (37% implied probability) and 40-64 (29%), reflecting his recent moderated pace of 20-30 daily engagements amid a quieter late-March period, down from the month's overall average exceeding 40 posts per day. This competitive split underscores variability in Musk's social media rhythm, influenced by Tesla developments, SpaceX updates, and pop culture moments like viral memes or political discourse that can surge volume. Absent confirmed catalysts—no major announcements or controversies in the past 48 hours—key swing factors include weekend posting dips or unexpected xAI/Tesla news, with real-time trackers like XTracker poised to signal shifts before resolution on April 5.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Mar 30, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
交易量
$109,302结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs Elon Musk's X posts from April 2-4 at 65-89 (37% implied probability) and 40-64 (29%), reflecting his recent moderated pace of 20-30 daily engagements amid a quieter late-March period, down from the month's overall average exceeding 40 posts per day. This competitive split underscores variability in Musk's social media rhythm, influenced by Tesla developments, SpaceX updates, and pop culture moments like viral memes or political discourse that can surge volume. Absent confirmed catalysts—no major announcements or controversies in the past 48 hours—key swing factors include weekend posting dips or unexpected xAI/Tesla news, with real-time trackers like XTracker poised to signal shifts before resolution on April 5.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$109,302结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 30, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs Elon Musk's X posts from April 2-4 at 65-89 (37% implied probability) and 40-64 (29%), reflecting his recent moderated pace of 20-30 daily engagements amid a quieter late-March period, down from the month's overall average exceeding 40 posts per day. This competitive split underscores variability in Musk's social media rhythm, influenced by Tesla developments, SpaceX updates, and pop culture moments like viral memes or political discourse that can surge volume. Absent confirmed catalysts—no major announcements or controversies in the past 48 hours—key swing factors include weekend posting dips or unexpected xAI/Tesla news, with real-time trackers like XTracker poised to signal shifts before resolution on April 5.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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