Trader consensus on the official @khamenei_ir account—now sharing statements from the late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei under son Mojtaba Khamenei's tenure—reflects sparse recent activity of 3-4 posts weekly in late March amid the US-Israel-Iran war, favoring <5 (40%) and 5-9 (34%) outcomes. This pattern stems from post-February 28 airstrikes killing Ali Khamenei, Assembly of Experts selection of Mojtaba on March 8, and steady repurposing of prior quotes on Resistance Front resolve and US decline. The 20-24 bin (33.5%) stays competitive due to early-March bursts during peak escalations like IRGC announcements; fresh airstrikes, proxy actions in Yemen or Lebanon, or ceasefire talks could push higher volumes, while lull favors sub-10.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于哈梅内伊# post 2026年3月31日至4月7日？
哈梅内伊# post 2026年3月31日至4月7日？
5-9 42%
<5 37%
10-14 34%
20-24 31%
NEW
NEW
Apr 7, 2026
<5
37%
5-9
42%
10-14
34%
15-19
28%
20-24
31%
25-29
27%
30-34
31%
35-39
23%
40-44
26%
45-49
24%
50-54
23%
55-59
23%
60+
23%
5-9 42%
<5 37%
10-14 34%
20-24 31%
NEW
NEW
Apr 7, 2026
<5
$20 交易量
37%
5-9
$0 交易量
42%
10-14
$0 交易量
34%
15-19
$0 交易量
28%
20-24
$0 交易量
31%
25-29
$0 交易量
27%
30-34
$0 交易量
31%
35-39
$20 交易量
23%
40-44
$20 交易量
26%
45-49
$20 交易量
24%
50-54
$20 交易量
23%
55-59
$20 交易量
23%
60+
$21 交易量
23%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between March 31, 12:00 PM ET and April 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on the official @khamenei_ir account—now sharing statements from the late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei under son Mojtaba Khamenei's tenure—reflects sparse recent activity of 3-4 posts weekly in late March amid the US-Israel-Iran war, favoring <5 (40%) and 5-9 (34%) outcomes. This pattern stems from post-February 28 airstrikes killing Ali Khamenei, Assembly of Experts selection of Mojtaba on March 8, and steady repurposing of prior quotes on Resistance Front resolve and US decline. The 20-24 bin (33.5%) stays competitive due to early-March bursts during peak escalations like IRGC announcements; fresh airstrikes, proxy actions in Yemen or Lebanon, or ceasefire talks could push higher volumes, while lull favors sub-10.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between March 31, 12:00 PM ET and April 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Mar 28, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
交易量
$143结束日期
Apr 7, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 28, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between March 31, 12:00 PM ET and April 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on the official @khamenei_ir account—now sharing statements from the late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei under son Mojtaba Khamenei's tenure—reflects sparse recent activity of 3-4 posts weekly in late March amid the US-Israel-Iran war, favoring <5 (40%) and 5-9 (34%) outcomes. This pattern stems from post-February 28 airstrikes killing Ali Khamenei, Assembly of Experts selection of Mojtaba on March 8, and steady repurposing of prior quotes on Resistance Front resolve and US decline. The 20-24 bin (33.5%) stays competitive due to early-March bursts during peak escalations like IRGC announcements; fresh airstrikes, proxy actions in Yemen or Lebanon, or ceasefire talks could push higher volumes, while lull favors sub-10.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between March 31, 12:00 PM ET and April 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$143结束日期
Apr 7, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 28, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the official @khamenei_ir account—now sharing statements from the late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei under son Mojtaba Khamenei's tenure—reflects sparse recent activity of 3-4 posts weekly in late March amid the US-Israel-Iran war, favoring <5 (40%) and 5-9 (34%) outcomes. This pattern stems from post-February 28 airstrikes killing Ali Khamenei, Assembly of Experts selection of Mojtaba on March 8, and steady repurposing of prior quotes on Resistance Front resolve and US decline. The 20-24 bin (33.5%) stays competitive due to early-March bursts during peak escalations like IRGC announcements; fresh airstrikes, proxy actions in Yemen or Lebanon, or ceasefire talks could push higher volumes, while lull favors sub-10.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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