Market icon

Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月31日至4月7日?

Market icon

Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月31日至4月7日?

260-279 12%

280-299 12%

300-319 12%

320-339 11%

Polymarket
NEW

$137,101 交易量

260-279 12%

280-299 12%

300-319 12%

320-339 11%

Polymarket
NEW

$137,101 交易量

<20

$16,497 交易量

<1%

20-39

$13,588 交易量

<1%

40-59

$16,553 交易量

<1%

60-79

$16,559 交易量

<1%

80-99

$15,291 交易量

<1%

100-119

$2,822 交易量

<1%

120-139

$4,153 交易量

<1%

140-159

$805 交易量

<1%

160-179

$1,693 交易量

1%

180-199

$1,489 交易量

3%

200-219

$1,356 交易量

6%

220-239

$2,202 交易量

7%

240-259

$1,526 交易量

10%

260-279

$1,690 交易量

12%

280-299

$2,065 交易量

12%

300-319

$1,041 交易量

12%

320-339

$1,332 交易量

11%

340-359

$678 交易量

9%

360-379

$1,347 交易量

8%

380-399

$1,308 交易量

5%

400-419

$1,485 交易量

4%

420-439

$1,354 交易量

3%

440-459

$2,132 交易量

2%

460-479

$2,498 交易量

1%

480-499

$1,794 交易量

1%

500-519

$1,784 交易量

<1%

520-539

$1,758 交易量

<1%

540-559

$6,306 交易量

<1%

560-579

$7,278 交易量

<1%

580+

$6,752 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's posts on X from March 31 to April 7 at around 260-319 (each bin at 11.5% implied probability), reflecting his established weekly cadence of 300-360 totals in recent periods like 364 for March 20-27 and 339 for March 17-24, averaging 34-45 per day amid steady engagement on politics, Tesla updates, and SpaceX teases. With top bins tightly matched, competitive dynamics hinge on daily fluctuations—weekends often see dips below 30 posts, while news catalysts like earnings calls or viral controversies could push toward 320+. No confirmed events in the last 48 hours alter this pattern, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in tracking his unpredictable yet high-volume social media presence.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's posts on X from March 31 to April 7 at around 260-319 (each bin at 11.5% implied probability), reflecting his established weekly cadence of 300-360 totals in recent periods like 364 for March 20-27 and 339 for March 17-24, averaging 34-45 per day amid steady engagement on politics, Tesla updates, and SpaceX teases. With top bins tightly matched, competitive dynamics hinge on daily fluctuations—weekends often see dips below 30 posts, while news catalysts like earnings calls or viral controversies could push toward 320+. No confirmed events in the last 48 hours alter this pattern, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in tracking his unpredictable yet high-volume social media presence.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's posts on X from March 31 to April 7 at around 260-319 (each bin at 11.5% implied probability), reflecting his established weekly cadence of 300-360 totals in recent periods like 364 for March 20-27 and 339 for March 17-24, averaging 34-45 per day amid steady engagement on politics, Tesla updates, and SpaceX teases. With top bins tightly matched, competitive dynamics hinge on daily fluctuations—weekends often see dips below 30 posts, while news catalysts like earnings calls or viral controversies could push toward 320+. No confirmed events in the last 48 hours alter this pattern, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in tracking his unpredictable yet high-volume social media presence.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's posts on X from March 31 to April 7 at around 260-319 (each bin at 11.5% implied probability), reflecting his established weekly cadence of 300-360 totals in recent periods like 364 for March 20-27 and 339 for March 17-24, averaging 34-45 per day amid steady engagement on politics, Tesla updates, and SpaceX teases. With top bins tightly matched, competitive dynamics hinge on daily fluctuations—weekends often see dips below 30 posts, while news catalysts like earnings calls or viral controversies could push toward 320+. No confirmed events in the last 48 hours alter this pattern, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in tracking his unpredictable yet high-volume social media presence.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月31日至4月7日?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 30 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"260-279",概率为 12%,其次是"280-299",概率为 12%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 12¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 12%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月31日至4月7日?"已产生 $137.1K 的总交易量(自Mar 28, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月31日至4月7日?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 30 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月31日至4月7日?"的当前领先者是"260-279",概率为 12%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 12%。紧随其后的结果是"280-299",概率为 12%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Elon Musk # tweets 2026年3月31日至4月7日?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。