Trader consensus on the Ted Cruz X posts market for March 27–April 3, 2026, clusters tightly around 80–119 posts at over 70% implied probability combined, mirroring his recent high-volume patterns of 12–18 daily updates amid Senate duties and political commentary. This reflects historical weekly averages in the 85–110 range during 2024 campaign peaks, with traders pricing steady activity assuming his continued service post-2024 reelection. The narrow spread persists due to posting volatility from news-driven spikes, recesses, or personal events like travel, keeping lower (60–79) and higher (120+) bins viable but secondary. Separation could arise from 2026 midterm primary schedules, major committee hearings, or health updates, potentially pushing totals toward extremes based on engagement intensity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Ted Cruz # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
Ted Cruz # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
80-99 38%
100-119 37%
60-79 28%
120-139 27%
<20
1%
20-39
1%
40-59
22%
60-79
28%
80-99
38%
100-119
37%
120-139
27%
140-159
24%
160-179
23%
180-199
23%
200+
9%
80-99 38%
100-119 37%
60-79 28%
120-139 27%
<20
1%
20-39
1%
40-59
22%
60-79
28%
80-99
38%
100-119
37%
120-139
27%
140-159
24%
160-179
23%
180-199
23%
200+
9%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/tedcruzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/tedcruzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Ted Cruz X posts market for March 27–April 3, 2026, clusters tightly around 80–119 posts at over 70% implied probability combined, mirroring his recent high-volume patterns of 12–18 daily updates amid Senate duties and political commentary. This reflects historical weekly averages in the 85–110 range during 2024 campaign peaks, with traders pricing steady activity assuming his continued service post-2024 reelection. The narrow spread persists due to posting volatility from news-driven spikes, recesses, or personal events like travel, keeping lower (60–79) and higher (120+) bins viable but secondary. Separation could arise from 2026 midterm primary schedules, major committee hearings, or health updates, potentially pushing totals toward extremes based on engagement intensity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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