Trader consensus on Polymarket implies Elon Musk will post 280-319 tweets from March 20-27, 2026, with those ranges leading at 11% each amid tight competition from 240-279 bins at 10.5%. This reflects his established pattern of 30-40 daily posts on X, fueled by real-time replies to critics, Tesla/SpaceX updates, and cultural memes, as seen in recent weeks averaging 35 tweets per day per SocialBlade metrics. Sentiment hinges on potential 2026 catalysts like election aftermath or AI/xAI announcements, which historically spike volume 20-50%, versus quieter periods dipping below 240. Resolution counts original posts and replies, excluding retweets, heightening edge for ranges capturing his volatile engagement style.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于280-299 11%
300-319 11%
240-259 11%
260-279 11%
$406,101 交易量
$406,101 交易量
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
2%
180-199
3%
200-219
5%
220-239
6%
240-259
11%
260-279
11%
280-299
11%
300-319
11%
320-339
11%
340-359
9%
360-379
7%
380-399
6%
400-419
5%
420-439
3%
440-459
3%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
280-299 11%
300-319 11%
240-259 11%
260-279 11%
$406,101 交易量
$406,101 交易量
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
2%
180-199
3%
200-219
5%
220-239
6%
240-259
11%
260-279
11%
280-299
11%
300-319
11%
320-339
11%
340-359
9%
360-379
7%
380-399
6%
400-419
5%
420-439
3%
440-459
3%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间: Mar 17, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies Elon Musk will post 280-319 tweets from March 20-27, 2026, with those ranges leading at 11% each amid tight competition from 240-279 bins at 10.5%. This reflects his established pattern of 30-40 daily posts on X, fueled by real-time replies to critics, Tesla/SpaceX updates, and cultural memes, as seen in recent weeks averaging 35 tweets per day per SocialBlade metrics. Sentiment hinges on potential 2026 catalysts like election aftermath or AI/xAI announcements, which historically spike volume 20-50%, versus quieter periods dipping below 240. Resolution counts original posts and replies, excluding retweets, heightening edge for ranges capturing his volatile engagement style.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题