Uncertainty over the 2024 presidential election winner drives trader sentiment for White House X posts during March 20-27, 2026, as the next administration's communication style will dictate volume. Current Biden White House averages 10-15 posts daily on policy announcements, briefings, and events, yielding roughly 70-100 weekly, aligning with top bins at 37% (80-99) and 36.5% (40-59). Historical Trump-era activity trended higher at 20+ daily amid frequent executive actions, boosting odds for 120-179 ranges near 35.5%. Tight clustering reflects election markets favoring Trump (55% implied win probability) yet acknowledging Harris upset risk and staff-driven posting norms. Resolution could come from November 2024 results or early 2025 cabinet picks signaling digital strategy shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于白宫#职位2026年3月20日至3月27日?
白宫#职位2026年3月20日至3月27日?
40-59 37%
80-99 37%
160-179 36%
200+ 35%
<20
9%
20-39
9%
40-59
37%
60-79
27%
80-99
37%
100-119
35%
120-139
36%
140-159
30%
160-179
36%
180-199
34%
200+
35%
40-59 37%
80-99 37%
160-179 36%
200+ 35%
<20
9%
20-39
9%
40-59
37%
60-79
27%
80-99
37%
100-119
35%
120-139
36%
140-159
30%
160-179
36%
180-199
34%
200+
35%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间: Mar 17, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Uncertainty over the 2024 presidential election winner drives trader sentiment for White House X posts during March 20-27, 2026, as the next administration's communication style will dictate volume. Current Biden White House averages 10-15 posts daily on policy announcements, briefings, and events, yielding roughly 70-100 weekly, aligning with top bins at 37% (80-99) and 36.5% (40-59). Historical Trump-era activity trended higher at 20+ daily amid frequent executive actions, boosting odds for 120-179 ranges near 35.5%. Tight clustering reflects election markets favoring Trump (55% implied win probability) yet acknowledging Harris upset risk and staff-driven posting norms. Resolution could come from November 2024 results or early 2025 cabinet picks signaling digital strategy shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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