Trader consensus on Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official @khamenei_ir X account reflects its sparse recent activity—averaging 2-4 posts per week since his February 28 assassination in US-Israeli strikes—with the bio now denoting him as the "martyred Leader" and content limited to archival statements. This pattern, evident in roughly 11 posts from March 1-28 amid Iran's leadership transition to son Mojtaba Khamenei, keeps low bins tightly contested: 5-9 posts (35.5%), 10-14 (31.5%), and under 5 (30%). Escalation in regional conflicts, new supreme leader public statements, or transition milestones could spur bursts, while prolonged quiet might favor sub-5 resolution by April 10.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Khamenei # posts 2026年4月3日至4月10日？
Khamenei # posts 2026年4月3日至4月10日？
5-9 49%
10-14 32%
<5 30%
15-19 26%
最新
最新
2026-04-10
<5
30%
5-9
36%
10-14
32%
15-19
26%
20-24
15%
25-29
15%
30-34
11%
35-39
8%
40-44
8%
45-49
8%
50-54
7%
55-59
8%
60+
7%
5-9 49%
10-14 32%
<5 30%
15-19 26%
最新
最新
2026-04-10
<5
$0 交易量
30%
5-9
$2 交易量
36%
10-14
$0 交易量
32%
15-19
$0 交易量
26%
20-24
$0 交易量
15%
25-29
$0 交易量
15%
30-34
$0 交易量
11%
35-39
$31 交易量
8%
40-44
$31 交易量
8%
45-49
$31 交易量
8%
50-54
$31 交易量
7%
55-59
$31 交易量
8%
60+
$31 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official @khamenei_ir X account reflects its sparse recent activity—averaging 2-4 posts per week since his February 28 assassination in US-Israeli strikes—with the bio now denoting him as the "martyred Leader" and content limited to archival statements. This pattern, evident in roughly 11 posts from March 1-28 amid Iran's leadership transition to son Mojtaba Khamenei, keeps low bins tightly contested: 5-9 posts (35.5%), 10-14 (31.5%), and under 5 (30%). Escalation in regional conflicts, new supreme leader public statements, or transition milestones could spur bursts, while prolonged quiet might favor sub-5 resolution by April 10.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Mar 31, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
交易量
$186结束日期
2026-04-10市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official @khamenei_ir X account reflects its sparse recent activity—averaging 2-4 posts per week since his February 28 assassination in US-Israeli strikes—with the bio now denoting him as the "martyred Leader" and content limited to archival statements. This pattern, evident in roughly 11 posts from March 1-28 amid Iran's leadership transition to son Mojtaba Khamenei, keeps low bins tightly contested: 5-9 posts (35.5%), 10-14 (31.5%), and under 5 (30%). Escalation in regional conflicts, new supreme leader public statements, or transition milestones could spur bursts, while prolonged quiet might favor sub-5 resolution by April 10.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$186结束日期
2026-04-10市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's official @khamenei_ir X account reflects its sparse recent activity—averaging 2-4 posts per week since his February 28 assassination in US-Israeli strikes—with the bio now denoting him as the "martyred Leader" and content limited to archival statements. This pattern, evident in roughly 11 posts from March 1-28 amid Iran's leadership transition to son Mojtaba Khamenei, keeps low bins tightly contested: 5-9 posts (35.5%), 10-14 (31.5%), and under 5 (30%). Escalation in regional conflicts, new supreme leader public statements, or transition milestones could spur bursts, while prolonged quiet might favor sub-5 resolution by April 10.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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