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选举·奖励20、4.5、50

Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner

Market icon
选举·奖励20、4.5、50

Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner

Doly Begum 98.3%

Lyall Sanders 1.2%

Pooja Malhotra 1.1%

April Francisco 1.1%

Polymarket
最新

Doly Begum 98.3%

Lyall Sanders 1.2%

Pooja Malhotra 1.1%

April Francisco 1.1%

Polymarket
最新
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Doly Begum

$285 交易量

98%

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Lyall Sanders

$41 交易量

1%

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Pooja Malhotra

$41 交易量

1%

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April Francisco

$41 交易量

1%

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David Vedova

$42 交易量

1%

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Diana Filipova

$41 交易量

1%

Market icon

Peter Koubakis

$57 交易量

1%

Market icon

Fatima Shaban

$43 交易量

1%

A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).Liberal candidate Doly Begum commands 98% trader consensus in the Scarborough Southwest federal by-election set for April 13, fueled by the riding's historical Liberal stronghold—61% in the 2025 general election—and her incumbency-like profile as the outgoing NDP provincial MPP who resigned her seat to run federally. A March Mainstreet poll showed Liberals leading decisively, reinforced by Prime Minister Mark Carney's endorsement on April 3 and a candidate debate on April 2 highlighting local issues like housing without notable gaffes. Advance polls opened April 3 amid steady campaigning. While entrenched advantages make an upset improbable, a late scandal over her party switch, depressed Liberal turnout, or Conservative momentum for Diana Filipova could theoretically shift odds in this first-past-the-post riding.

A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada.

If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
交易量
$590
结束日期
2026-04-13
市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).Liberal candidate Doly Begum commands 98% trader consensus in the Scarborough Southwest federal by-election set for April 13, fueled by the riding's historical Liberal stronghold—61% in the 2025 general election—and her incumbency-like profile as the outgoing NDP provincial MPP who resigned her seat to run federally. A March Mainstreet poll showed Liberals leading decisively, reinforced by Prime Minister Mark Carney's endorsement on April 3 and a candidate debate on April 2 highlighting local issues like housing without notable gaffes. Advance polls opened April 3 amid steady campaigning. While entrenched advantages make an upset improbable, a late scandal over her party switch, depressed Liberal turnout, or Conservative momentum for Diana Filipova could theoretically shift odds in this first-past-the-post riding.

A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada.

If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).
交易量
$590
结束日期
2026-04-13
市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 7:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the seat of Scarborough Southwest, Ontario in the House of Commons of Canada is currently scheduled to be held on April 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for the Scarborough Southwest, Ontario seat in the House of Commons of Canada. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Canadian government, specifically Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/home.aspx).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 8 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Doly Begum"，概率为 98%，其次是"Lyall Sanders"，概率为 1%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 98¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 98%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Apr 3, 2026上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 8 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner"的当前领先者是"Doly Begum"，概率为 98%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 98%。紧随其后的结果是"Lyall Sanders"，概率为 1%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Scarborough Southwest By-Election Winner"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。