Eric Conroy leads trader consensus at 58% implied probability in the OH-01 Republican primary, reflecting his superior fundraising—over $500,000 raised per recent FEC reports—and endorsements from influential local GOP figures, bolstering his frontrunner status against Democratic incumbent Greg Landsman. Rosemary Oglesby-Henry at 28.5% benefits from strong grassroots support in Hamilton County, while Steven Erbeck (24.5%) and Holly Adams (11.5%) lag amid limited polling data and visibility. No major developments in the past 48 hours, but Q3 finance disclosures last week solidified Conroy's financial edge; upcoming candidate forums and potential national endorsements ahead of the March 2026 primary could shift dynamics in this open field.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Eric Conroy 72%
Steven Erbeck 23%
Holly Adams 6%
Rosemary Oglesby-Henry 6%
NEW
$11,820 交易量
NEW
$11,820 交易量
May 5, 2026
Eric Conroy
72%
Steven Erbeck
23%
Holly Adams
6%
Rosemary Oglesby-Henry
6%
Eric Conroy 72%
Steven Erbeck 23%
Holly Adams 6%
Rosemary Oglesby-Henry 6%
NEW
$11,820 交易量
NEW
$11,820 交易量
May 5, 2026
Eric Conroy
$11,820 交易量
72%
Steven Erbeck
$0 交易量
23%
Holly Adams
$0 交易量
6%
Rosemary Oglesby-Henry
$0 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Eric Conroy leads trader consensus at 58% implied probability in the OH-01 Republican primary, reflecting his superior fundraising—over $500,000 raised per recent FEC reports—and endorsements from influential local GOP figures, bolstering his frontrunner status against Democratic incumbent Greg Landsman. Rosemary Oglesby-Henry at 28.5% benefits from strong grassroots support in Hamilton County, while Steven Erbeck (24.5%) and Holly Adams (11.5%) lag amid limited polling data and visibility. No major developments in the past 48 hours, but Q3 finance disclosures last week solidified Conroy's financial edge; upcoming candidate forums and potential national endorsements ahead of the March 2026 primary could shift dynamics in this open field.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Mar 26, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
交易量
$11,820结束日期
May 5, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 26, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Eric Conroy leads trader consensus at 58% implied probability in the OH-01 Republican primary, reflecting his superior fundraising—over $500,000 raised per recent FEC reports—and endorsements from influential local GOP figures, bolstering his frontrunner status against Democratic incumbent Greg Landsman. Rosemary Oglesby-Henry at 28.5% benefits from strong grassroots support in Hamilton County, while Steven Erbeck (24.5%) and Holly Adams (11.5%) lag amid limited polling data and visibility. No major developments in the past 48 hours, but Q3 finance disclosures last week solidified Conroy's financial edge; upcoming candidate forums and potential national endorsements ahead of the March 2026 primary could shift dynamics in this open field.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$11,820结束日期
May 5, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 26, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Eric Conroy leads trader consensus at 58% implied probability in the OH-01 Republican primary, reflecting his superior fundraising—over $500,000 raised per recent FEC reports—and endorsements from influential local GOP figures, bolstering his frontrunner status against Democratic incumbent Greg Landsman. Rosemary Oglesby-Henry at 28.5% benefits from strong grassroots support in Hamilton County, while Steven Erbeck (24.5%) and Holly Adams (11.5%) lag amid limited polling data and visibility. No major developments in the past 48 hours, but Q3 finance disclosures last week solidified Conroy's financial edge; upcoming candidate forums and potential national endorsements ahead of the March 2026 primary could shift dynamics in this open field.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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