Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight contest between 80-99 Truth Social posts (36.5%) and 100-119 (30.0%) by President Trump for April 14-21, reflecting recent fluctuations in his posting amid de-escalating Iran tensions. After averaging 18 posts daily in 2025 and spikes of 15-20 per day April 8-11 focused on Hormuz Strait negotiations, oil shipments, and military updates, early April saw near-zero activity April 5-7, pulling weekly estimates down. This variability, driven by foreign policy catalysts like ceasefire talks and domestic endorsements, keeps odds clustered in the 11-17 posts-per-day range. A Hormuz flare-up or new nominations could push toward 120+, while a lighter schedule favors sub-100.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于80-99 37%
100-119 30%
120-139 12%
60-79 7.9%
最新
$19,417 交易量
最新
$19,417 交易量
2026-04-21
少于20
<1%
20-39
1%
40-59
14%
60-79
9%
80-99
37%
100-119
30%
120-139
16%
140-159
10%
160-179
3%
180-199
16%
200+
3%
80-99 37%
100-119 30%
120-139 12%
60-79 7.9%
最新
$19,417 交易量
最新
$19,417 交易量
2026-04-21
少于20
$13,853 交易量
<1%
20-39
$2,202 交易量
1%
40-59
$1,533 交易量
14%
60-79
$259 交易量
9%
80-99
$335 交易量
37%
100-119
$191 交易量
30%
120-139
$241 交易量
16%
140-159
$148 交易量
10%
160-179
$233 交易量
3%
180-199
$225 交易量
16%
200+
$197 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight contest between 80-99 Truth Social posts (36.5%) and 100-119 (30.0%) by President Trump for April 14-21, reflecting recent fluctuations in his posting amid de-escalating Iran tensions. After averaging 18 posts daily in 2025 and spikes of 15-20 per day April 8-11 focused on Hormuz Strait negotiations, oil shipments, and military updates, early April saw near-zero activity April 5-7, pulling weekly estimates down. This variability, driven by foreign policy catalysts like ceasefire talks and domestic endorsements, keeps odds clustered in the 11-17 posts-per-day range. A Hormuz flare-up or new nominations could push toward 120+, while a lighter schedule favors sub-100.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
交易量
$19,417结束日期
2026-04-21市场开放时间
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight contest between 80-99 Truth Social posts (36.5%) and 100-119 (30.0%) by President Trump for April 14-21, reflecting recent fluctuations in his posting amid de-escalating Iran tensions. After averaging 18 posts daily in 2025 and spikes of 15-20 per day April 8-11 focused on Hormuz Strait negotiations, oil shipments, and military updates, early April saw near-zero activity April 5-7, pulling weekly estimates down. This variability, driven by foreign policy catalysts like ceasefire talks and domestic endorsements, keeps odds clustered in the 11-17 posts-per-day range. A Hormuz flare-up or new nominations could push toward 120+, while a lighter schedule favors sub-100.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$19,417结束日期
2026-04-21市场开放时间
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight contest between 80-99 Truth Social posts (36.5%) and 100-119 (30.0%) by President Trump for April 14-21, reflecting recent fluctuations in his posting amid de-escalating Iran tensions. After averaging 18 posts daily in 2025 and spikes of 15-20 per day April 8-11 focused on Hormuz Strait negotiations, oil shipments, and military updates, early April saw near-zero activity April 5-7, pulling weekly estimates down. This variability, driven by foreign policy catalysts like ceasefire talks and domestic endorsements, keeps odds clustered in the 11-17 posts-per-day range. A Hormuz flare-up or new nominations could push toward 120+, while a lighter schedule favors sub-100.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题