Trader consensus on Polymarket prices White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's anticipated lateness to the next briefing in a tight cluster around 20-35 minutes, reflecting her consistent pattern of moderate delays over recent months, frequently attributed to last-minute discussions with President Trump on high-priority issues like the U.S.-Iran ceasefire. The April 8 briefing, focused on Operation Epic Fury outcomes and Strait of Hormuz negotiations, proceeded without reported delay, reinforcing expectations in the 20-30 minute range from precedents such as the February 10 session that started roughly 40 minutes late. This race stays neck-and-neck due to variable prep times amid ongoing diplomatic pressures; breaking news on Iran talks or lighter agendas could push toward extremes like under 15 minutes or over 35.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于25 - 30 minutes 53%
20 - 25 minutes 33%
30 - 35 minutes 29%
15 - 20 minutes 21%
<15 minutes
29%
15 - 20 minutes
21%
20 - 25 minutes
33%
25 - 30 minutes
53%
30 - 35 minutes
29%
35+ minutes
19%
25 - 30 minutes 53%
20 - 25 minutes 33%
30 - 35 minutes 29%
15 - 20 minutes 21%
<15 minutes
29%
15 - 20 minutes
21%
20 - 25 minutes
33%
25 - 30 minutes
53%
30 - 35 minutes
29%
35+ minutes
19%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)
市场开放时间: Apr 9, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market refers to White House press briefings by Karoline Leavitt (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by Karoline Leavitt will qualify. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as Karoline Leavitt is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.
If Karoline Leavitt ceases to be the acting White House Press Secretary for any amount of time between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying press briefing occurs by April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant briefing from the official White House YouTube page. (https://www.youtube.com/whitehouse)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt's anticipated lateness to the next briefing in a tight cluster around 20-35 minutes, reflecting her consistent pattern of moderate delays over recent months, frequently attributed to last-minute discussions with President Trump on high-priority issues like the U.S.-Iran ceasefire. The April 8 briefing, focused on Operation Epic Fury outcomes and Strait of Hormuz negotiations, proceeded without reported delay, reinforcing expectations in the 20-30 minute range from precedents such as the February 10 session that started roughly 40 minutes late. This race stays neck-and-neck due to variable prep times amid ongoing diplomatic pressures; breaking news on Iran talks or lighter agendas could push toward extremes like under 15 minutes or over 35.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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