The overwhelming market consensus on "No" at 99.3% reflects the International Astronomical Union's (IAU) 2006 planet definition—requiring orbital clearance of its neighborhood—which Pluto has never satisfied, and the absence of any scheduled IAU review, vote, or new observational data that would prompt reclassification before June 30. No recent peer-reviewed studies or agency updates have challenged this framework, and historical precedent shows such taxonomic shifts occur only after years of deliberation. Traders recognize the near-zero probability of an unscheduled IAU assembly or sudden consensus reversal in the remaining days. The only realistic, albeit remote, path to a "Yes" outcome would require an unforeseen emergency IAU action driven by major new Kuiper Belt discoveries, which current monitoring shows no sign of emerging.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于冥王星在6月30日之前被重新归类为行星？
冥王星在6月30日之前被重新归类为行星？
是
$59,381 交易量
$59,381 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$59,381 交易量
$59,381 交易量
2026-06-30
Pluto is currently classified as a dwarf planet by the International Astronomical Union. NASA administrator Jared Isaacman has urged Donald Trump to declare Pluto a planet again.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pluto is declared a planet by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying declaration may be made by the International Astronomical Union or by Donald Trump, but must explicitly state that Pluto's status is that of a planet. Statements reinforcing Pluto's dwarf planet status or statements indicating that its classification may be reconsidered will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Statements indicating intent to reclassify Pluto as a planet will count towards this market's resolution only if they are made without qualifiers (e.g., "Pluto will be reclassified as a planet if it sufficiently clears its orbit" would not count). Executive orders declaring Pluto's status as a planet will qualify.
This market's resolution source will be statements from the International Astronomical Union, Donald Trump, or any official White House legal or social media representative will qualify.The overwhelming market consensus on "No" at 99.3% reflects the International Astronomical Union's (IAU) 2006 planet definition—requiring orbital clearance of its neighborhood—which Pluto has never satisfied, and the absence of any scheduled IAU review, vote, or new observational data that would prompt reclassification before June 30. No recent peer-reviewed studies or agency updates have challenged this framework, and historical precedent shows such taxonomic shifts occur only after years of deliberation. Traders recognize the near-zero probability of an unscheduled IAU assembly or sudden consensus reversal in the remaining days. The only realistic, albeit remote, path to a "Yes" outcome would require an unforeseen emergency IAU action driven by major new Kuiper Belt discoveries, which current monitoring shows no sign of emerging.
Pluto is currently classified as a dwarf planet by the International Astronomical Union. NASA administrator Jared Isaacman has urged Donald Trump to declare Pluto a planet again.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pluto is declared a planet by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying declaration may be made by the International Astronomical Union or by Donald Trump, but must explicitly state that Pluto's status is that of a planet. Statements reinforcing Pluto's dwarf planet status or statements indicating that its classification may be reconsidered will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Statements indicating intent to reclassify Pluto as a planet will count towards this market's resolution only if they are made without qualifiers (e.g., "Pluto will be reclassified as a planet if it sufficiently clears its orbit" would not count). Executive orders declaring Pluto's status as a planet will qualify.
This market's resolution source will be statements from the International Astronomical Union, Donald Trump, or any official White House legal or social media representative will qualify.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pluto is declared a planet by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying declaration may be made by the International Astronomical Union or by Donald Trump, but must explicitly state that Pluto's status is that of a planet. Statements reinforcing Pluto's dwarf planet status or statements indicating that its classification may be reconsidered will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Statements indicating intent to reclassify Pluto as a planet will count towards this market's resolution only if they are made without qualifiers (e.g., "Pluto will be reclassified as a planet if it sufficiently clears its orbit" would not count). Executive orders declaring Pluto's status as a planet will qualify.
This market's resolution source will be statements from the International Astronomical Union, Donald Trump, or any official White House legal or social media representative will qualify.
市场开放时间： Apr 9, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
交易量
$59,381结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Pluto is currently classified as a dwarf planet by the International Astronomical Union. NASA administrator Jared Isaacman has urged Donald Trump to declare Pluto a planet again.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pluto is declared a planet by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying declaration may be made by the International Astronomical Union or by Donald Trump, but must explicitly state that Pluto's status is that of a planet. Statements reinforcing Pluto's dwarf planet status or statements indicating that its classification may be reconsidered will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Statements indicating intent to reclassify Pluto as a planet will count towards this market's resolution only if they are made without qualifiers (e.g., "Pluto will be reclassified as a planet if it sufficiently clears its orbit" would not count). Executive orders declaring Pluto's status as a planet will qualify.
This market's resolution source will be statements from the International Astronomical Union, Donald Trump, or any official White House legal or social media representative will qualify.The overwhelming market consensus on "No" at 99.3% reflects the International Astronomical Union's (IAU) 2006 planet definition—requiring orbital clearance of its neighborhood—which Pluto has never satisfied, and the absence of any scheduled IAU review, vote, or new observational data that would prompt reclassification before June 30. No recent peer-reviewed studies or agency updates have challenged this framework, and historical precedent shows such taxonomic shifts occur only after years of deliberation. Traders recognize the near-zero probability of an unscheduled IAU assembly or sudden consensus reversal in the remaining days. The only realistic, albeit remote, path to a "Yes" outcome would require an unforeseen emergency IAU action driven by major new Kuiper Belt discoveries, which current monitoring shows no sign of emerging.
Pluto is currently classified as a dwarf planet by the International Astronomical Union. NASA administrator Jared Isaacman has urged Donald Trump to declare Pluto a planet again.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pluto is declared a planet by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying declaration may be made by the International Astronomical Union or by Donald Trump, but must explicitly state that Pluto's status is that of a planet. Statements reinforcing Pluto's dwarf planet status or statements indicating that its classification may be reconsidered will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Statements indicating intent to reclassify Pluto as a planet will count towards this market's resolution only if they are made without qualifiers (e.g., "Pluto will be reclassified as a planet if it sufficiently clears its orbit" would not count). Executive orders declaring Pluto's status as a planet will qualify.
This market's resolution source will be statements from the International Astronomical Union, Donald Trump, or any official White House legal or social media representative will qualify.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pluto is declared a planet by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying declaration may be made by the International Astronomical Union or by Donald Trump, but must explicitly state that Pluto's status is that of a planet. Statements reinforcing Pluto's dwarf planet status or statements indicating that its classification may be reconsidered will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. Statements indicating intent to reclassify Pluto as a planet will count towards this market's resolution only if they are made without qualifiers (e.g., "Pluto will be reclassified as a planet if it sufficiently clears its orbit" would not count). Executive orders declaring Pluto's status as a planet will qualify.
This market's resolution source will be statements from the International Astronomical Union, Donald Trump, or any official White House legal or social media representative will qualify.
交易量
$59,381结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The overwhelming market consensus on "No" at 99.3% reflects the International Astronomical Union's (IAU) 2006 planet definition—requiring orbital clearance of its neighborhood—which Pluto has never satisfied, and the absence of any scheduled IAU review, vote, or new observational data that would prompt reclassification before June 30. No recent peer-reviewed studies or agency updates have challenged this framework, and historical precedent shows such taxonomic shifts occur only after years of deliberation. Traders recognize the near-zero probability of an unscheduled IAU assembly or sudden consensus reversal in the remaining days. The only realistic, albeit remote, path to a "Yes" outcome would require an unforeseen emergency IAU action driven by major new Kuiper Belt discoveries, which current monitoring shows no sign of emerging.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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