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Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?

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Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?

19% 概率
Polymarket
最新
19% 概率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level. The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Tucker Carlson; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus favors "No" at 81.5% due to Tucker Carlson's repeated public denials of presidential ambitions, including a March 2026 Economist interview where he dismissed his electability even in an uncontested race, and no evidence of campaign infrastructure like exploratory committees, filings, or official statements. Despite ongoing 2028 speculation and fresh calls to run following his April 9 criticism of Israeli strikes in Beirut, Carlson has prioritized his media ventures, including Tucker on X and podcasting, over political entry. Historical patterns show media figures rarely pivot abruptly without prior signals, with the June 30 deadline adding pressure but no momentum shift in recent weeks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Tucker Carlson; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
交易量
$9
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level. The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Tucker Carlson; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level. The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Tucker Carlson; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus favors "No" at 81.5% due to Tucker Carlson's repeated public denials of presidential ambitions, including a March 2026 Economist interview where he dismissed his electability even in an uncontested race, and no evidence of campaign infrastructure like exploratory committees, filings, or official statements. Despite ongoing 2028 speculation and fresh calls to run following his April 9 criticism of Israeli strikes in Beirut, Carlson has prioritized his media ventures, including Tucker on X and podcasting, over political entry. Historical patterns show media figures rarely pivot abruptly without prior signals, with the June 30 deadline adding pressure but no momentum shift in recent weeks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Tucker Carlson; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
交易量
$9
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level. The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Tucker Carlson; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?"是 Polymarket 上的一个预测市场,交易者根据自己对事件是否会发生的判断买卖"是"或"否"的份额。当前社区预测的概率为 19%("Yes")。例如,如果"是"的价格为 19¢,则市场集体认为该事件发生的概率为 19%。这些赔率会随着交易者对新动态和信息的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Apr 8, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?"上交易,只需选择你认为答案是"是"还是"否"。每一方都有一个反映市场隐含概率的当前价格。输入你的金额并点击"交易"。如果你买入"是"的份额且结果为"是",每份支付 $1。如果结果为"否",你的"是"份额支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额以锁定利润或止损。

"Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?"的当前概率为 19%("Yes")。这意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为该事件发生的概率为 19%。这些赔率基于实际交易实时更新,持续提供市场预期信号。

"Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。