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哪些国家将在3月31日之前袭击伊朗?

Market icon

哪些国家将在3月31日之前袭击伊朗?

$6,129,390 交易量

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$6,129,390 交易量

Polymarket

阿联酋

$1,460,307 交易量

19%

沙特阿拉伯

$1,178,880 交易量

18%

卡塔尔

$679,116 交易量

11%

巴林

$132,811 交易量

11%

英国

$626,790 交易量

10%

科威特

$51,363 交易量

10%

任意欧盟国家

$179,215 交易量

10%

土耳其

$288,046 交易量

7%

法国

$460,177 交易量

6%

约旦

$138,625 交易量

6%

阿曼

$37,144 交易量

2%

德国

$686,641 交易量

1%

加拿大

$210,274 交易量

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").

Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$6,129,390
结束日期
Mar 31, 2026
市场开放时间
Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"哪些国家将在3月31日之前袭击伊朗?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 13 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"阿联酋",概率为 19%,其次是"沙特阿拉伯",概率为 18%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 19¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 19%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"哪些国家将在3月31日之前袭击伊朗?"已产生 $6.1 million 的总交易量(自Mar 1, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"哪些国家将在3月31日之前袭击伊朗?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 13 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"哪些国家将在3月31日之前袭击伊朗?"的当前领先者是"阿联酋",概率为 19%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 19%。紧随其后的结果是"沙特阿拉伯",概率为 18%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"哪些国家将在3月31日之前袭击伊朗?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。