When will the first eaglet hatch?

When will the first eaglet hatch?

28%

April 8

$59.4K 交易量

$54.1K today

$58.6K Liq.

12

Ends 11 天内

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs  Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group B

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group B

83%

Nigma Galaxy

$87.3K 交易量

$87.2K today

$102K Liq.

Ends 大约 5 小时内

Dota 2: L1ga Team vs  Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group B

Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group B

100%

L1ga Team

$2.3K 交易量

$4 Liq.

Ends 14 天前

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

8%

$5.8K 交易量

$8.3K Liq.

Ends 9 个月内

What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?

What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?

97%

Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery

$168K 交易量

$157K Liq.

Ends 25 天内

IN-04 Republican Primary Winner

IN-04 Republican Primary Winner

91%

Jim Baird

$1.1K 交易量

$4.3K Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月内

International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 1) - Team Top Batter

International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 1) - Team Top Batter

-

$173 交易量

Ends 2 个月前

Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - European Pro League Group B

Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - European Pro League Group B

64%

VP.Prodigy

$69 交易量

$768 Liq.

Ends 大约 9 小时内

International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 2) - Team Top Batter

International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 2) - Team Top Batter

-

$642 交易量

Ends 2 个月前

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

3%

$102K 交易量

$6.9K Liq.

Ends 3 个月内

Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Championship Playoffs

Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Championship Playoffs

Yellow Submarine

$6.0K 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月前

International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 3) - Team Top Batter

International ODI: Sri Lanka vs England (Game 3) - Team Top Batter

-

$1.5K 交易量

Ends 2 个月前

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

36%

December 31, 2026

$440K 交易量

$5.2K Liq.

27

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs HOTU (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs HOTU (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs

HOTU

$9.4K 交易量

$0 Liq.

Ends 大约 1 个月前

Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

17%

$24.7K 交易量

$8.8K Liq.

1

Ends 9 个月内

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

59%

June 30, 2026

$2M 交易量

$12.9K Liq.

108

Ends 3 个月内

Dota 2: 1win vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group A

Dota 2: 1win vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group A

100%

1win

$143K 交易量

$142K today

$368K Liq.

Ends 大约 1 小时内

Pump.fun airdrop by ....?

Pump.fun airdrop by ....?

11%

December 31, 2026

$3M 交易量

$388 Liq.

262

Ends 3 个月前

ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

56%

April 17

$347 交易量

$2.2K Liq.

Ends 19 天内

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

6%

$1.2K 交易量

$7.0K Liq.

Ends 5 天内

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 Pip 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 107 个活跃的 Pip 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"When will the first eaglet hatch?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $5.8M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"Pump.fun airdrop by ....? ",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"Pump.fun airdrop by ....? ",市场目前认为 December 31, 2026 的概率为 11%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 Pip 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。