Incumbent Republican David Valadao and Democratic nominee Randy Villegas remain closely matched in California's 22nd congressional district ahead of the November general election, with trader consensus pricing multiple narrow-margin outcomes near even odds. Post-primary redistricting under Proposition 50 narrowed the district's prior Republican tilt to a slight Democratic lean based on recent presidential results, yet Valadao's history of outperforming the top of the ticket in Central Valley counties continues to anchor his support. Villegas's progressive profile and primary victory over the more moderate alternative have produced mixed polling signals, while shared vulnerabilities around Medicaid policy and turnout among key voting blocs sustain the deadlock. Upcoming campaign spending surges, candidate debates, and shifts in national midterm dynamics could widen separation in either direction before ballots are cast.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডCA-22 House Election Margin of Victory
CA-22 House Election Margin of Victory
Democrat 0-3% 42%
Republican 0-3% 42%
Republican 3-6% 42%
Democrat 18%+ 40%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat 18%+
40%
Democrat 15-18%
40%
Democrat 12-15%
40%
Democrat 9-12%
34%
Democrat 6-9%
36%
Democrat 3-6%
36%
Democrat 0-3%
42%
Republican 0-3%
42%
Republican 3-6%
42%
Republican 6%+
34%
Democrat 0-3% 42%
Republican 0-3% 42%
Republican 3-6% 42%
Democrat 18%+ 40%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat 18%+
$0 Vol.
40%
Democrat 15-18%
$0 Vol.
40%
Democrat 12-15%
$0 Vol.
40%
Democrat 9-12%
$0 Vol.
34%
Democrat 6-9%
$0 Vol.
36%
Democrat 3-6%
$0 Vol.
36%
Democrat 0-3%
$0 Vol.
42%
Republican 0-3%
$0 Vol.
42%
Republican 3-6%
$0 Vol.
42%
Republican 6%+
$0 Vol.
34%
The 2026 CA-22 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 CA-22 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Republican David Valadao and Democratic nominee Randy Villegas remain closely matched in California's 22nd congressional district ahead of the November general election, with trader consensus pricing multiple narrow-margin outcomes near even odds. Post-primary redistricting under Proposition 50 narrowed the district's prior Republican tilt to a slight Democratic lean based on recent presidential results, yet Valadao's history of outperforming the top of the ticket in Central Valley counties continues to anchor his support. Villegas's progressive profile and primary victory over the more moderate alternative have produced mixed polling signals, while shared vulnerabilities around Medicaid policy and turnout among key voting blocs sustain the deadlock. Upcoming campaign spending surges, candidate debates, and shifts in national midterm dynamics could widen separation in either direction before ballots are cast.
The 2026 CA-22 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 CA-22 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 CA-22 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 2, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 3:33 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 CA-22 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 CA-22 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Republican David Valadao and Democratic nominee Randy Villegas remain closely matched in California's 22nd congressional district ahead of the November general election, with trader consensus pricing multiple narrow-margin outcomes near even odds. Post-primary redistricting under Proposition 50 narrowed the district's prior Republican tilt to a slight Democratic lean based on recent presidential results, yet Valadao's history of outperforming the top of the ticket in Central Valley counties continues to anchor his support. Villegas's progressive profile and primary victory over the more moderate alternative have produced mixed polling signals, while shared vulnerabilities around Medicaid policy and turnout among key voting blocs sustain the deadlock. Upcoming campaign spending surges, candidate debates, and shifts in national midterm dynamics could widen separation in either direction before ballots are cast.
The 2026 CA-22 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 CA-22 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 CA-22 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$0শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 3:33 PM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Republican David Valadao and Democratic nominee Randy Villegas remain closely matched in California's 22nd congressional district ahead of the November general election, with trader consensus pricing multiple narrow-margin outcomes near even odds. Post-primary redistricting under Proposition 50 narrowed the district's prior Republican tilt to a slight Democratic lean based on recent presidential results, yet Valadao's history of outperforming the top of the ticket in Central Valley counties continues to anchor his support. Villegas's progressive profile and primary victory over the more moderate alternative have produced mixed polling signals, while shared vulnerabilities around Medicaid policy and turnout among key voting blocs sustain the deadlock. Upcoming campaign spending surges, candidate debates, and shifts in national midterm dynamics could widen separation in either direction before ballots are cast.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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