Trader consensus reflects a 76.5% implied probability of no ECB rate cut in 2026, anchored by resurgent Eurozone inflation surpassing the 2% target due to energy shocks from the Iran war. The ECB's March 19 Governing Council meeting held the deposit rate at 2%, while sharply raising its 2026 headline inflation forecast to 2.6% from 1.9%, citing persistent core pressures and heightened inflation-linked swap rates. March HICP data confirmed annual inflation at 2.6%, prompting forecasters like Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley to pivot from expected easing to potential hikes in April and June. ECB President Lagarde stressed data-dependent policy, with accounts from the March session underscoring caution against premature tightening ahead of the April 29 decision.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$25,095 Vol.
$25,095 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$25,095 Vol.
$25,095 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects a 76.5% implied probability of no ECB rate cut in 2026, anchored by resurgent Eurozone inflation surpassing the 2% target due to energy shocks from the Iran war. The ECB's March 19 Governing Council meeting held the deposit rate at 2%, while sharply raising its 2026 headline inflation forecast to 2.6% from 1.9%, citing persistent core pressures and heightened inflation-linked swap rates. March HICP data confirmed annual inflation at 2.6%, prompting forecasters like Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley to pivot from expected easing to potential hikes in April and June. ECB President Lagarde stressed data-dependent policy, with accounts from the March session underscoring caution against premature tightening ahead of the April 29 decision.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
ভলিউম
$25,095শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects a 76.5% implied probability of no ECB rate cut in 2026, anchored by resurgent Eurozone inflation surpassing the 2% target due to energy shocks from the Iran war. The ECB's March 19 Governing Council meeting held the deposit rate at 2%, while sharply raising its 2026 headline inflation forecast to 2.6% from 1.9%, citing persistent core pressures and heightened inflation-linked swap rates. March HICP data confirmed annual inflation at 2.6%, prompting forecasters like Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley to pivot from expected easing to potential hikes in April and June. ECB President Lagarde stressed data-dependent policy, with accounts from the March session underscoring caution against premature tightening ahead of the April 29 decision.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$25,095শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects a 76.5% implied probability of no ECB rate cut in 2026, anchored by resurgent Eurozone inflation surpassing the 2% target due to energy shocks from the Iran war. The ECB's March 19 Governing Council meeting held the deposit rate at 2%, while sharply raising its 2026 headline inflation forecast to 2.6% from 1.9%, citing persistent core pressures and heightened inflation-linked swap rates. March HICP data confirmed annual inflation at 2.6%, prompting forecasters like Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley to pivot from expected easing to potential hikes in April and June. ECB President Lagarde stressed data-dependent policy, with accounts from the March session underscoring caution against premature tightening ahead of the April 29 decision.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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