Recent energy price surges from Middle East tensions have pushed euro area inflation above target and lifted shorter-term expectations, prompting the ECB to shift toward tightening after holding the deposit facility rate at 2.00 percent through April. June 2026 data and economist surveys show broad consensus for a 25-basis-point hike at the June 11 meeting, with further increases priced for later in the year. This data-dependent path, supported by resilient labor markets and risks of second-round effects, underpins trader consensus that at least one rate increase will occur in 2026. Even at these elevated probabilities, a swift resolution of geopolitical pressures or sharper-than-expected growth slowdown could still reduce the need for additional hikes and shift outcomes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডECB rate hike in 2026?
ECB rate hike in 2026?
$135,044 Vol.
$135,044 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$135,044 Vol.
$135,044 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent energy price surges from Middle East tensions have pushed euro area inflation above target and lifted shorter-term expectations, prompting the ECB to shift toward tightening after holding the deposit facility rate at 2.00 percent through April. June 2026 data and economist surveys show broad consensus for a 25-basis-point hike at the June 11 meeting, with further increases priced for later in the year. This data-dependent path, supported by resilient labor markets and risks of second-round effects, underpins trader consensus that at least one rate increase will occur in 2026. Even at these elevated probabilities, a swift resolution of geopolitical pressures or sharper-than-expected growth slowdown could still reduce the need for additional hikes and shift outcomes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ET
ভলিউম
$135,044শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent energy price surges from Middle East tensions have pushed euro area inflation above target and lifted shorter-term expectations, prompting the ECB to shift toward tightening after holding the deposit facility rate at 2.00 percent through April. June 2026 data and economist surveys show broad consensus for a 25-basis-point hike at the June 11 meeting, with further increases priced for later in the year. This data-dependent path, supported by resilient labor markets and risks of second-round effects, underpins trader consensus that at least one rate increase will occur in 2026. Even at these elevated probabilities, a swift resolution of geopolitical pressures or sharper-than-expected growth slowdown could still reduce the need for additional hikes and shift outcomes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$135,044শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent energy price surges from Middle East tensions have pushed euro area inflation above target and lifted shorter-term expectations, prompting the ECB to shift toward tightening after holding the deposit facility rate at 2.00 percent through April. June 2026 data and economist surveys show broad consensus for a 25-basis-point hike at the June 11 meeting, with further increases priced for later in the year. This data-dependent path, supported by resilient labor markets and risks of second-round effects, underpins trader consensus that at least one rate increase will occur in 2026. Even at these elevated probabilities, a swift resolution of geopolitical pressures or sharper-than-expected growth slowdown could still reduce the need for additional hikes and shift outcomes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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