Eurozone inflation surged to 2.6% in March 2026, exceeding the ECB's 2% target amid energy price shocks from the Iran war escalation, driving trader consensus to price a 74% implied probability of an ECB rate hike this year. The Governing Council held key rates unchanged at its March 19 meeting, with deposit facility steady at 2%, but ECB President Christine Lagarde noted the economy slipping toward an adverse scenario, while officials like Martins Kazaks cautioned against presuming an immediate April 30 tightening. Forecasters including IMF and JPMorgan now project 25-50 basis point hikes in June or September to counter projected 2.8% inflation this year, reflecting markets' higher-for-longer stance despite near-term holds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডECB rate hike in 2026?
ECB rate hike in 2026?
$94,940 Vol.
$94,940 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$94,940 Vol.
$94,940 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Eurozone inflation surged to 2.6% in March 2026, exceeding the ECB's 2% target amid energy price shocks from the Iran war escalation, driving trader consensus to price a 74% implied probability of an ECB rate hike this year. The Governing Council held key rates unchanged at its March 19 meeting, with deposit facility steady at 2%, but ECB President Christine Lagarde noted the economy slipping toward an adverse scenario, while officials like Martins Kazaks cautioned against presuming an immediate April 30 tightening. Forecasters including IMF and JPMorgan now project 25-50 basis point hikes in June or September to counter projected 2.8% inflation this year, reflecting markets' higher-for-longer stance despite near-term holds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ET
ভলিউম
$94,940শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Eurozone inflation surged to 2.6% in March 2026, exceeding the ECB's 2% target amid energy price shocks from the Iran war escalation, driving trader consensus to price a 74% implied probability of an ECB rate hike this year. The Governing Council held key rates unchanged at its March 19 meeting, with deposit facility steady at 2%, but ECB President Christine Lagarde noted the economy slipping toward an adverse scenario, while officials like Martins Kazaks cautioned against presuming an immediate April 30 tightening. Forecasters including IMF and JPMorgan now project 25-50 basis point hikes in June or September to counter projected 2.8% inflation this year, reflecting markets' higher-for-longer stance despite near-term holds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$94,940শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Eurozone inflation surged to 2.6% in March 2026, exceeding the ECB's 2% target amid energy price shocks from the Iran war escalation, driving trader consensus to price a 74% implied probability of an ECB rate hike this year. The Governing Council held key rates unchanged at its March 19 meeting, with deposit facility steady at 2%, but ECB President Christine Lagarde noted the economy slipping toward an adverse scenario, while officials like Martins Kazaks cautioned against presuming an immediate April 30 tightening. Forecasters including IMF and JPMorgan now project 25-50 basis point hikes in June or September to counter projected 2.8% inflation this year, reflecting markets' higher-for-longer stance despite near-term holds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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