Trump’s approval rating has remained subdued through 2026, with recent aggregates showing net figures near -19 to -20 and topline approval often between 33% and 39%. The ongoing conflict with Iran, which began in February, has weighed heavily on sentiment through elevated gas prices and broader economic unease, while tariffs and cost-of-living pressures have further eroded support even among some Republicans. Polls from summer 2026 recorded several all-time lows for the second term before modest stabilization in early September. The November midterm elections represent the next major test, as voter assessments of economic management and foreign policy outcomes could shift polling averages and shape expectations for how far ratings might decline before year-end.