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icon for Israel Election: Ofer Cassif Effectively Banned?

Israel Election: Ofer Cassif Effectively Banned?

icon for Israel Election: Ofer Cassif Effectively Banned?

Israel Election: Ofer Cassif Effectively Banned?

15% সম্ভাবনা
Polymarket
নতুন
15% সম্ভাবনা
Polymarket
নতুন
Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ofer Cassif is effectively banned from standing as a candidate in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents Ofer Cassif from standing as a candidate in the 2026 Knesset election. This includes, but is not limited to: Ofer Cassif being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration as a candidate, removed from a candidates’ list or from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to be elected to the 26th Knesset. The disqualification of the candidates’ list on which Ofer Cassif stands will qualify only where it also renders Ofer Cassif ineligible to be elected. A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if Ofer Cassif is otherwise reinstated and permitted to stand, this market will resolve to "No". A decision by Ofer Cassif to voluntarily withdraw from or decline to contest the election will not qualify. Resignation, removal from office, arrest, or detention will not qualify, provided Ofer Cassif remains eligible to be elected to the 26th Knesset. Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, Ofer Cassif, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**The Central Elections Committee voted 19-5 on September 23 to disqualify Ofer Cassif from the Joint List ahead of the October 27 Knesset elections, citing grounds under Basic Law: The Knesset related to negating Israel’s existence as a Jewish and democratic state or supporting armed struggle.** The decision followed petitions from Likud and aligned parties, amid similar actions targeting other Arab lists and candidates. However, CEC rulings require Supreme Court approval, and the High Court has historically applied a stringent threshold for disqualifications—overturning a comparable 2019 ban on Cassif. The Attorney General opposed the move, and the Court is scheduled to review the case next week. Traders’ strong “No” consensus reflects this precedent and the expectation that the final judicial step will allow Cassif’s candidacy to proceed.

Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ofer Cassif is effectively banned from standing as a candidate in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents Ofer Cassif from standing as a candidate in the 2026 Knesset election. This includes, but is not limited to: Ofer Cassif being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration as a candidate, removed from a candidates’ list or from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to be elected to the 26th Knesset. The disqualification of the candidates’ list on which Ofer Cassif stands will qualify only where it also renders Ofer Cassif ineligible to be elected.

A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if Ofer Cassif is otherwise reinstated and permitted to stand, this market will resolve to "No".

A decision by Ofer Cassif to voluntarily withdraw from or decline to contest the election will not qualify. Resignation, removal from office, arrest, or detention will not qualify, provided Ofer Cassif remains eligible to be elected to the 26th Knesset.

Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, Ofer Cassif, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ofer Cassif is effectively banned from standing as a candidate in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents Ofer Cassif from standing as a candidate in the 2026 Knesset election. This includes, but is not limited to: Ofer Cassif being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration as a candidate, removed from a candidates’ list or from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to be elected to the 26th Knesset. The disqualification of the candidates’ list on which Ofer Cassif stands will qualify only where it also renders Ofer Cassif ineligible to be elected. A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if Ofer Cassif is otherwise reinstated and permitted to stand, this market will resolve to "No". A decision by Ofer Cassif to voluntarily withdraw from or decline to contest the election will not qualify. Resignation, removal from office, arrest, or detention will not qualify, provided Ofer Cassif remains eligible to be elected to the 26th Knesset. Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, Ofer Cassif, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ভলিউম
$44
শেষ তারিখ
Oct 27, 2026
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 23, 2026, 4:10 PM ET

রেজলভার

0x65070be91...
Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ofer Cassif is effectively banned from standing as a candidate in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents Ofer Cassif from standing as a candidate in the 2026 Knesset election. This includes, but is not limited to: Ofer Cassif being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration as a candidate, removed from a candidates’ list or from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to be elected to the 26th Knesset. The disqualification of the candidates’ list on which Ofer Cassif stands will qualify only where it also renders Ofer Cassif ineligible to be elected. A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if Ofer Cassif is otherwise reinstated and permitted to stand, this market will resolve to "No". A decision by Ofer Cassif to voluntarily withdraw from or decline to contest the election will not qualify. Resignation, removal from office, arrest, or detention will not qualify, provided Ofer Cassif remains eligible to be elected to the 26th Knesset. Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, Ofer Cassif, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**The Central Elections Committee voted 19-5 on September 23 to disqualify Ofer Cassif from the Joint List ahead of the October 27 Knesset elections, citing grounds under Basic Law: The Knesset related to negating Israel’s existence as a Jewish and democratic state or supporting armed struggle.** The decision followed petitions from Likud and aligned parties, amid similar actions targeting other Arab lists and candidates. However, CEC rulings require Supreme Court approval, and the High Court has historically applied a stringent threshold for disqualifications—overturning a comparable 2019 ban on Cassif. The Attorney General opposed the move, and the Court is scheduled to review the case next week. Traders’ strong “No” consensus reflects this precedent and the expectation that the final judicial step will allow Cassif’s candidacy to proceed.

Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ofer Cassif is effectively banned from standing as a candidate in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents Ofer Cassif from standing as a candidate in the 2026 Knesset election. This includes, but is not limited to: Ofer Cassif being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration as a candidate, removed from a candidates’ list or from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to be elected to the 26th Knesset. The disqualification of the candidates’ list on which Ofer Cassif stands will qualify only where it also renders Ofer Cassif ineligible to be elected.

A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if Ofer Cassif is otherwise reinstated and permitted to stand, this market will resolve to "No".

A decision by Ofer Cassif to voluntarily withdraw from or decline to contest the election will not qualify. Resignation, removal from office, arrest, or detention will not qualify, provided Ofer Cassif remains eligible to be elected to the 26th Knesset.

Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, Ofer Cassif, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Elections to the 26th Knesset are scheduled to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ofer Cassif is effectively banned from standing as a candidate in the 2026 Knesset election by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a ban means any official action by Israeli authorities that prevents Ofer Cassif from standing as a candidate in the 2026 Knesset election. This includes, but is not limited to: Ofer Cassif being disqualified under Section 7A of Basic Law: The Knesset; being refused registration as a candidate, removed from a candidates’ list or from the ballot, or otherwise rendered ineligible to be elected to the 26th Knesset. The disqualification of the candidates’ list on which Ofer Cassif stands will qualify only where it also renders Ofer Cassif ineligible to be elected. A decision of the Central Elections Committee will not by itself qualify. The disqualification must be final and operative for the 2026 Knesset election, meaning that it has been approved or upheld by the Supreme Court of Israel, or that the time for judicial review has expired without the decision being set aside. If the Supreme Court overturns, sets aside, or declines to approve the disqualification, or if Ofer Cassif is otherwise reinstated and permitted to stand, this market will resolve to "No". A decision by Ofer Cassif to voluntarily withdraw from or decline to contest the election will not qualify. Resignation, removal from office, arrest, or detention will not qualify, provided Ofer Cassif remains eligible to be elected to the 26th Knesset. Confirmation of a ban may come from an official announcement by the Israeli government, the Central Elections Committee, the Supreme Court of Israel, Ofer Cassif, or an authorised representative thereof. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Confirmation must occur by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM Israel time. If no such confirmation occurs by that time, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ভলিউম
$0
শেষ তারিখ
Oct 27, 2026
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 23, 2026, 4:10 PM ET

রেজলভার

0x65070be91...

বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।

সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা

"Israel Election: Ofer Cassif Effectively Banned?" হলো Polymarket-এ একটি প্রেডিকশন মার্কেট যেখানে ট্রেডাররা এই ইভেন্টটি ঘটবে কিনা তার ভিত্তিতে "Yes" বা "No" শেয়ার কেনাবেচা করে। বর্তমান ক্রাউড-সোর্সড সম্ভাবনা "Yes"-এর জন্য 20%। যেমন, "Yes" 20¢-এ মূল্যায়িত হলে, মার্কেট সম্মিলিতভাবে এই ইভেন্টটি ঘটার 20% সম্ভাবনা নির্ধারণ করে। ট্রেডাররা নতুন ডেভেলপমেন্ট ও তথ্যে প্রতিক্রিয়া জানালে এই অডস ক্রমাগত পরিবর্তিত হয়। মার্কেট রেজোলিউশনে সঠিক ফলাফলের শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1-এ রিডিমযোগ্য।

"Israel Election: Ofer Cassif Effectively Banned?" Polymarket-এ একটি নতুন তৈরি মার্কেট, Sep 23, 2026-এ লঞ্চ হয়েছে। একটি নতুন মার্কেট হিসেবে, এটি প্রথম ট্রেডারদের মধ্যে একজন হয়ে অডস সেট করার ও মার্কেটের প্রাথমিক মূল্য সংকেত প্রতিষ্ঠা করার সুযোগ। সময়ের সাথে মার্কেট গতি পেলে ভলিউম ও ট্রেডিং অ্যাক্টিভিটি ট্র্যাক করতে এই পেজ বুকমার্ক করতে পারেন।

"Israel Election: Ofer Cassif Effectively Banned?"-এ ট্রেড করতে, শুধু বেছে নিন আপনি বিশ্বাস করেন উত্তর "Yes" নাকি "No"। প্রতিটি সাইডের একটি বর্তমান দাম আছে যা মার্কেটের ইম্প্লায়েড প্রবাবিলিটি প্রতিফলিত করে। আপনার পরিমাণ লিখুন এবং "Trade" ক্লিক করুন। যদি আপনি "Yes" শেয়ার কেনেন এবং ফলাফল "Yes" হিসেবে রেজলভ হয়, প্রতিটি শেয়ার $1 দেয়। "No" হলে, আপনার "Yes" শেয়ার $0 দেয়। রেজোলিউশনের আগে যেকোনো সময় শেয়ার বিক্রিও করতে পারেন।

"Israel Election: Ofer Cassif Effectively Banned?"-এর বর্তমান সম্ভাবনা "Yes"-এর জন্য 20%। মানে Polymarket ক্রাউড বর্তমানে এই ইভেন্টটি ঘটার 20% সম্ভাবনা বিশ্বাস করে। এই অডস প্রকৃত ট্রেডের ভিত্তিতে রিয়েল-টাইমে আপডেট হয়।

"Israel Election: Ofer Cassif Effectively Banned?"-এর রেজোলিউশন নিয়ম সঠিকভাবে সংজ্ঞায়িত করে প্রতিটি ফলাফলকে বিজয়ী ঘোষণা করতে কী ঘটতে হবে — ফলাফল নির্ধারণে ব্যবহৃত অফিসিয়াল ডেটা সোর্স সহ। আপনি এই পেজের মন্তব্যের উপরে "Rules" সেকশনে সম্পূর্ণ রেজোলিউশন মানদণ্ড রিভিউ করতে পারেন।