Traders have overwhelmingly converged on 66-67°F as Chicago’s lowest temperature for August 28, driven by National Weather Service observations from primary stations such as O’Hare International Airport that recorded overnight lows squarely in this range. Late-August climatology under stable high-pressure patterns commonly produces mid-60s minima, and recent forecast model runs showed no significant cooling from Lake Michigan breezes or passing fronts. The 98% market-implied probability reflects traders’ real-capital assessment of verified data, though final quality-controlled records or secondary station readings could introduce small revisions if discrepancies emerge.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Chicago on August 28?
66-67°F 98%
62-63°F 19%
72-73°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$1,179 Vol.
$1,179 Vol.
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
19%
64-65°F
46%
66-67°F
98%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
<1%
66-67°F 98%
62-63°F 19%
72-73°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$1,179 Vol.
$1,179 Vol.
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
19%
64-65°F
46%
66-67°F
98%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Traders have overwhelmingly converged on 66-67°F as Chicago’s lowest temperature for August 28, driven by National Weather Service observations from primary stations such as O’Hare International Airport that recorded overnight lows squarely in this range. Late-August climatology under stable high-pressure patterns commonly produces mid-60s minima, and recent forecast model runs showed no significant cooling from Lake Michigan breezes or passing fronts. The 98% market-implied probability reflects traders’ real-capital assessment of verified data, though final quality-controlled records or secondary station readings could introduce small revisions if discrepancies emerge.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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