Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) flow and localized thunderstorms are the main drivers keeping Manila's overnight minimum near 24–26 °C on 22 September, consistent with PAGASA guidance and multiple model runs. High humidity, extensive cloud cover, and light variable winds limit radiational cooling, while scattered showers add further moderation. Historical September lows average 25–26 °C, and current steering patterns show no strong cold surge or clear-sky window that would push readings to 21 °C or below. Conversely, sustained rain and overcast skies make 31 °C or higher unlikely for the daily minimum. Traders appear split between these tails because small differences in timing or coverage of nocturnal convection can shift the exact low by 1–2 °C, with fresh model updates and PAGASA bulletins expected to refine the range before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Manila on September 22?
31°C or higher 92%
21°C or below 91%
27°C 45%
26°C 40%
21°C or below
91%
22°C
15%
23°C
38%
24°C
38%
25°C
37%
26°C
40%
27°C
32%
28°C
38%
29°C
17%
30°C
16%
31°C or higher
92%
31°C or higher 92%
21°C or below 91%
27°C 45%
26°C 40%
21°C or below
91%
22°C
15%
23°C
38%
24°C
38%
25°C
37%
26°C
40%
27°C
32%
28°C
38%
29°C
17%
30°C
16%
31°C or higher
92%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 20, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) flow and localized thunderstorms are the main drivers keeping Manila's overnight minimum near 24–26 °C on 22 September, consistent with PAGASA guidance and multiple model runs. High humidity, extensive cloud cover, and light variable winds limit radiational cooling, while scattered showers add further moderation. Historical September lows average 25–26 °C, and current steering patterns show no strong cold surge or clear-sky window that would push readings to 21 °C or below. Conversely, sustained rain and overcast skies make 31 °C or higher unlikely for the daily minimum. Traders appear split between these tails because small differences in timing or coverage of nocturnal convection can shift the exact low by 1–2 °C, with fresh model updates and PAGASA bulletins expected to refine the range before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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