Maryland's 4th Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the House, anchored by Prince George's County demographics and a partisan voting index exceeding D+39. Incumbent Democrat Glenn Ivey, first elected in 2022, holds a substantial fundraising and name-recognition edge heading into the June 23 primary against several challengers, while the Republican side features only perennial candidate George McDermott. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid D, consistent with Ivey's 2024 margin above 70 points. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural advantages and limited opposition. A late scandal, primary surprise producing a damaged nominee, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns indicate the general-election outcome on November 3 is unlikely to shift.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMD-04 House Election Winner
MD-04 House Election Winner
$27,357 Vol.
$27,357 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
6%
$27,357 Vol.
$27,357 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,107 Vol.
92%
Republican Party
$19,251 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 4th Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the House, anchored by Prince George's County demographics and a partisan voting index exceeding D+39. Incumbent Democrat Glenn Ivey, first elected in 2022, holds a substantial fundraising and name-recognition edge heading into the June 23 primary against several challengers, while the Republican side features only perennial candidate George McDermott. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid D, consistent with Ivey's 2024 margin above 70 points. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural advantages and limited opposition. A late scandal, primary surprise producing a damaged nominee, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns indicate the general-election outcome on November 3 is unlikely to shift.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ভলিউম
$27,357শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 4th Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the House, anchored by Prince George's County demographics and a partisan voting index exceeding D+39. Incumbent Democrat Glenn Ivey, first elected in 2022, holds a substantial fundraising and name-recognition edge heading into the June 23 primary against several challengers, while the Republican side features only perennial candidate George McDermott. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid D, consistent with Ivey's 2024 margin above 70 points. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural advantages and limited opposition. A late scandal, primary surprise producing a damaged nominee, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns indicate the general-election outcome on November 3 is unlikely to shift.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$27,357শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 4th Congressional District remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the House, anchored by Prince George's County demographics and a partisan voting index exceeding D+39. Incumbent Democrat Glenn Ivey, first elected in 2022, holds a substantial fundraising and name-recognition edge heading into the June 23 primary against several challengers, while the Republican side features only perennial candidate George McDermott. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid D, consistent with Ivey's 2024 margin above 70 points. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural advantages and limited opposition. A late scandal, primary surprise producing a damaged nominee, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns indicate the general-election outcome on November 3 is unlikely to shift.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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